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Start Kenny Gainwell or Justice Hill? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Kenny Gainwell over Justice Hill

Market projects
5.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
42%
Through Week 4
Target share
10%
Through Week 4
Market projects
3.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
41%
Through Week 4
Target share
6%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Kenny Gainwell over Justice Hill in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 5.2 points and Justice Hill at 3.4, a gap of 1.8. Justice Hill's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 5.2 fantasy points for Kenny Gainwell, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Kenny Gainwell at 12.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 14 and 16 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.4 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Justice Hill at 11.5 rushing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (11 and 14 market sources).

That puts Kenny Gainwell 1.8 points ahead of Justice Hill on the market projections.

Injury status

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Kenny Gainwell played 42 percent of TB snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 1 against CIN: 26 of 57 snaps, 5 carries for 15 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 2 against CLE: 23 of 65 snaps, 2 carries for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 3 against MIN: 32 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for -4 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, Justice Hill played 41 percent of BAL snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 2 against NO: 27 of 58 snaps, 2 carries for 6 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB41 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 0-4

Overall rank
149
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

Ranked behind

RB47 · BAL · bye unlisted

2026 vs rush yds line 2-2

Overall rank
171
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board22
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 11 and tier 12
  • Board size223 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board