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Start Keaton Mitchell or Kenny Gainwell? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Keaton Mitchell over Kenny Gainwell

Market projects
7.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
33%
Through Week 4
Target share
9%
Through Week 4
Market projects
5.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
42%
Through Week 4
Target share
10%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Keaton Mitchell over Kenny Gainwell in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Keaton Mitchell at 7.2 points and Kenny Gainwell at 5.1, a gap of 2.0. Keaton Mitchell's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Keaton Mitchell is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.2 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Keaton Mitchell at 29.5 rushing yards, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 5.1 fantasy points for Kenny Gainwell, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Kenny Gainwell at 12.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (15, 15, 13 and 16 market sources).

That puts Keaton Mitchell 2.0 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on the market projections.

Injury status

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Keaton Mitchell played 33 percent of LAC snaps, took 24 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 2 against LV: 17 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 24 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 3 against BUF: 26 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 52 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for -5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Through Week 4, Kenny Gainwell played 42 percent of TB snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 1 against CIN: 26 of 57 snaps, 5 carries for 15 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 2 against CLE: 23 of 65 snaps, 2 carries for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 3 against MIN: 32 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for -4 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB36 · LAC · bye unlisted

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
127
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB41 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 0-4

Overall rank
151
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board24
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 10 and tier 12
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board