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Start Nico Collins or Rashee Rice? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Nico Collins over Rashee Rice

Start

Nico Collins

WR · HOU · vs CIN · Questionable

Books imply
15.9
fantasy pts
CIN D vs WR
25.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
72%
Through Week 1
Target share
27%
Through Week 1
Sit

Rashee Rice

WR · KC · vs IND

Books imply
14.4
fantasy pts
IND D vs WR
37.9
9th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
83%
Through Week 1
Target share
8%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Nico Collins over Rashee Rice in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Nico Collins at 15.9 points and Rashee Rice at 14.4, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Nico Collins's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Nico Collins at ADP 19 and Rashee Rice at 17.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Rashee Rice, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 15.9 fantasy points for Nico Collins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts Nico Collins 1.4 points ahead of Rashee Rice on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Rashee Rice and KC host IND on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

IND allowed 37.9 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 9th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 229 yards and a touchdown against IND.

Nico Collins and HOU host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 25.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and no touchdowns against CIN.

By points allowed to the position, Rashee Rice has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rashee Rice is not on the injury report.

Nico Collins is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Rashee Rice played 83 percent of KC snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 5 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Rashee Rice, Week 1 against DEN: 57 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, Nico Collins played 72 percent of HOU snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Nico Collins, Week 1 against BUF: 57 of 79 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 10 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rashee Rice played 8 games for KC and scored 150.1 PPR points, 18.8 a game, finishing WR40.

He caught 53 of 78 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 18 red zone targets and 157 air yards.

He was on the field for 73 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Rashee Rice, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 52 of 61 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 51 yards, 12.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Nico Collins, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 57 yards, 8.7 PPR points.

Nico Collins, Week 16 of 2025 against LV: 52 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 59 yards, 9.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR26 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 7-8

Overall rank
91
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR43 · KC · bye 5

2025 vs rec yds line 2-6

Overall rank
118
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board27
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 6
  • Board size244 draftable players

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