Start Tyler Allgeier or Rico Dowdle? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 8.4 points and Tyler Allgeier at 7.4, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Rico Dowdle's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Rico Dowdle is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.4 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market gives Rico Dowdle a 35% chance to score a touchdown (9 market sources).

Player markets imply 7.4 fantasy points for Tyler Allgeier, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Tyler Allgeier at 27.5 rushing yards, 9.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14, 12 and 16 market sources).

That puts Rico Dowdle 1.0 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on the market projections.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable with a toe injury.

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 2, Rico Dowdle played 42 percent of PIT snaps, took 37 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Through Week 4, Tyler Allgeier played 51 percent of ARI snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 1 against LAC: 44 of 75 snaps, 17 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 2 against SEA: 32 of 50 snaps, 5 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 3 against SF: 31 of 87 snaps, 2 carries for -1 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 4 against NYG: 36 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Rico Dowdle, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 27 of 51 snaps, 7 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Rico Dowdle over Blake Corum.
• Start Rico Dowdle over Brian Robinson.
• Start David Montgomery over Rico Dowdle.
• Start Tyler Allgeier over Blake Corum.
• Start Tyler Allgeier over Brian Robinson.
• Start Bucky Irving over Tyler Allgeier.