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Start Tyson Bagent or Sam Darnold? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tyson Bagent over Sam Darnold

Market projects
15.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
62%
Through Week 4
Market projects
15.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
75%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Tyson Bagent over Sam Darnold in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Tyson Bagent at 15.7 points and Sam Darnold at 15.4, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.7 fantasy points for Tyson Bagent, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Tyson Bagent at 219.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (15, 15, 5 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Sam Darnold, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Sam Darnold at 227.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 4.5 rushing yards, with a 10% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 13 and 15 market sources).

That puts Tyson Bagent 0.2 points ahead of Sam Darnold on the market projections.

Injury status

Tyson Bagent is not on the injury report.

Sam Darnold is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Tyson Bagent played 62 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 45 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyson Bagent, Week 2 against MIN: 10 of 74 snaps, 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Tyson Bagent, Week 4 against NYJ: 93 of 93 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Through Week 4, Sam Darnold played 75 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 75 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.

Sam Darnold, Week 1 against NE: 5 of 50 snaps, 1 of 2 passes for 13 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Sam Darnold, Week 3 against WAS: 67 of 67 snaps, 31 of 45 passes for 379 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 4 against LAC: 60 of 60 snaps, 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyson Bagent played 3 games for CHI and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 2 times for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB20 · CHI · bye unlisted

Overall rank
107
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

QB22 · SEA · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 9-8

Overall rank
110
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 6
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board