Tyson Bagent or Sam Darnold: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Tyson Bagent at 15.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 35th highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

The player markets price Sam Darnold at 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 40th highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyson Bagent: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 106th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Sam Darnold: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 113th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 27.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Tyson Bagent has been on the field for 62 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 45 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 4 of 45 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 2 against MIN he completed 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 4 against NYJ he completed 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

Through Week 4, Sam Darnold has been on the field for 75 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 75 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 14 of 75 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 1 of 2 passes for 13 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 3 against WAS he completed 31 of 45 passes for 379 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he completed 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyson Bagent played 3 games and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He threw for 47 yards on 4 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 1.3 attempts a game at 11.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Sam Darnold played 17 games and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He threw for 4048 yards on 477 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 28.1 attempts a game at 8.5 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Sam Darnold was available for 14 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Sam Darnold scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Tyson Bagent 0.9, 13.8 a game between them.

Tyson Bagent finished QB67 that year and Sam Darnold QB13.

Sam Darnold had 473 more pass attempts than Tyson Bagent, 477 to 4.

Sam Darnold had 4001 more passing yards than Tyson Bagent, 4048 to 47.

This season Sam Darnold holds the bigger snap share, 75 percent against 62 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Sam Darnold is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Tyson Bagent.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.