Should I trade Bijan Robinson for Derrick Henry?

No on value: Bijan Robinson is worth 154 and Derrick Henry 115, a loss of 39. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Robinson.

Who has more rest-of-season value, Bijan Robinson or Derrick Henry?

Bijan Robinson, 154 to 115. He rates 21.9 market points a game over 11 games left, against 18.4 over 11 for Derrick Henry, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

How are these trade values calculated?

Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

Trade Bijan Robinson for Derrick Henry? No, Robinson is worth 39 more.

No on value. Bijan Robinson is worth 154 rest of season and Derrick Henry 115, so giving up Robinson costs 39. Robinson rates 21.9 market points a game with 11 games left, Henry 18.4 with 11. On usage, Robinson has 63 percent of ATL carries and 19 percent of its targets; Henry has 73 percent of BAL carries and 7 percent of its targets. Robinson hosts CHI in Week 6 (7th fewest points allowed to RBs); Henry is at CLE in Week 6 (5th fewest points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Bijan Robinson wins by 39.

Bijan Robinson 154115 Derrick Henry

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Bijan Robinson

RB2ATL

154

value, #2

Pts/game: 21.9
Games left: 11
Bye: 11

Bijan Robinson weekly market-based points
Wk 3	Wk 4	Wk 5
21.1	23.4	21.9

Derrick Henry

RB5BAL

115

value, #7

Pts/game: 18.4
Games left: 11
Bye: 13

Derrick Henry weekly market-based points
Wk 3	Wk 4	Wk 5
18.4	18.6	15.6

Where the values come from

Robinson is the 2nd running back on the chart and 2nd overall. His 21.9 a game is 14.0 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 154.

Henry is the 5th running back on the chart and 7th overall. His 18.4 a game is 10.5 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 115.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Bijan Robinson at 21.1 in Week 3, 23.5 in Week 4 and 21.9 in Week 5, a median of 21.9 points a game, up 0.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Derrick Henry at 18.4 in Week 3, 18.6 in Week 4 and 15.6 in Week 5, a median of 18.4 points a game, down 2.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Points so far against the price

Bijan Robinson has scored 121.2 PPR points in 5 games, 24.2 a game, 2.3 a game more than the 21.9 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB2 with 370.8 PPR points in 17 games, 21.8 a game.

Week 1 vs PIT: 31.3 points (RB6 that week), 83 rushing yards on 21 carries, 8 of 10 targets for 90 yards, 1 touchdown, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CAR: 11.1 points (RB20 that week), 72 rushing yards on 16 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards, 51 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs GB: 35.3 points (RB2 that week), 194 rushing yards on 29 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NO: 27.7 points (RB5 that week), 145 rushing yards on 19 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns, 60 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs BAL: 15.8 points (RB12 that week), 86 rushing yards on 17 carries, 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards.

Derrick Henry has scored 111.8 PPR points in 5 games, 22.4 a game, 4.0 a game more than the 18.4 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB8 with 279.5 PPR points in 17 games, 16.4 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 35.3 points (RB1 that week), 144 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 1 target for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 54 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NO: 17.7 points (RB6 that week), 68 rushing yards on 16 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 53 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 21.9 points (RB4 that week), 89 rushing yards on 26 carries, 1 of 1 target for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 15.9 points (RB21 that week), 73 rushing yards on 23 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ATL: 21.0 points (RB4 that week), 102 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Bijan Robinson has averaged 21.3 carries for 124 yards and 4.5 targets and 3.5 catches for 30 yards a game on 65 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 18 times inside the 20, 67 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NO he had 19 carries and 2 targets on 60 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Derrick Henry has averaged 22.3 carries for 94 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.8 catches for 11 yards a game on 59 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 23 times inside the 20, 55 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 7 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against TEN he had 23 carries and 2 targets on 63 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Bijan Robinson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Derrick Henry has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

CHI, Robinson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 7th fewest to RBs of 32.

CLE, Henry's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th fewest to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Derrick Henry would want about 39 more added to make it even: a player like Josh Downs, valued at 37. Two players for Robinson also costs that side a roster spot.

Josh Downs's player page

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

Should I trade Bijan Robinson for Derrick Henry?
No on value: Bijan Robinson is worth 154 and Derrick Henry 115, a loss of 39. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Robinson.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Bijan Robinson or Derrick Henry?
Bijan Robinson, 154 to 115. He rates 21.9 market points a game over 11 games left, against 18.4 over 11 for Derrick Henry, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is built Report a wrong number