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Trade Bucky Irving for Josh Downs? No, Irving is worth 11 more.

No on value. Bucky Irving is worth 48 rest of season and Josh Downs 37, so giving up Irving costs 11. Irving rates 12.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Downs 12.5 with 11. On usage, Irving has 58 percent of TB carries and 12 percent of its targets; Downs has drawn 23 percent of IND targets. Irving hosts PIT in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to RBs); Downs hosts TEN in Week 6 (14th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Bucky Irving wins by 11.

Bucky Irving 4837 Josh Downs

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Bucky Irving

RB20TB

48

value, #39

Pts/game
12.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Bucky Irving weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
12.912.311.5

Josh Downs

WR18IND

37

value, #42

Pts/game
12.5
Games left
11
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
11.414.212.5

Where the values come from

Irving is the 20th running back on the chart and 39th overall. His 12.3 a game is 4.4 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 48.

Downs is the 18th receiver on the chart and 42nd overall. His 12.5 a game is 3.4 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 37.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Bucky Irving at 12.9 in Week 3, 12.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 12.3 points a game, down 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4 and 12.5 in Week 5, a median of 12.5 points a game, up 1.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Bucky Irving has scored 78.7 PPR points in 5 games, 15.7 a game, 3.4 a game more than the 12.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB34 with 138.5 PPR points in 10 games, 13.9 a game.

Week 1 vs CIN: 20.3 points (RB12 that week), 45 rushing yards on 8 carries, 7 of 7 targets for 48 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CLE: 13.0 points (RB15 that week), 89 rushing yards on 17 carries, 4 of 4 targets for 1 yards, 78 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIN: 7.8 points (RB35 that week), 46 rushing yards on 15 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 12 yards, 52 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs GB: 6.1 points (RB42 that week), 61 rushing yards on 16 carries, 58 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DAL: 31.5 points (RB3 that week), 165 rushing yards on 21 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Josh Downs has scored 44.9 PPR points in 5 games, 9.0 a game, 3.5 a game less than the 12.5 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR40 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Bucky Irving has averaged 14.0 carries for 60 yards and 3.8 targets and 3.3 catches for 15 yards a game on 62 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against GB he had 16 carries and 0 targets on 58 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Josh Downs has averaged 7.0 targets and 4.3 catches for 51 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against WAS he had 4 targets on 77 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Bucky Irving has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Josh Downs has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

PIT, Irving's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 24.6 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to RBs of 32.

TEN, Downs's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 34.1 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 14th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Josh Downs would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Irving also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

Other trades for Bucky Irving and Josh Downs

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Bucky Irving for Josh Downs?

    No on value: Bucky Irving is worth 48 and Josh Downs 37, a loss of 11. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Irving.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Bucky Irving or Josh Downs?

    Bucky Irving, 48 to 37. He rates 12.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 12.5 over 11 for Josh Downs, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number