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Trade Chase Brown for Kyren Williams? No, Brown is worth 20 more.

No on value. Chase Brown is worth 90 rest of season and Kyren Williams 70, so giving up Brown costs 20. Brown rates 16.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Williams 14.3 with 11. On usage, Brown has 72 percent of CIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Williams has 54 percent of LAR carries and 16 percent of its targets. Brown is on bye in Week 6; Williams hosts ARI in Week 6 (2nd fewest points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Chase Brown wins by 20.

Chase Brown 9070 Kyren Williams

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Chase Brown

RB11CIN

90

value, #16

Pts/game
16.1
Games left
11
Bye
6
Chase Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
16.117.412.0

Kyren Williams

RB15LAR

70

value, #26

Pts/game
14.3
Games left
11
Bye
11
Kyren Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
13.314.317.4

Where the values come from

Brown is the 11th running back on the chart and 16th overall. His 16.1 a game is 8.2 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 90.

Williams is the 15th running back on the chart and 26th overall. His 14.3 a game is 6.4 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 70.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Chase Brown at 16.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 12.0 in Week 5, a median of 16.1 points a game, down 4.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Kyren Williams at 13.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4 and 17.4 in Week 5, a median of 14.3 points a game, up 4.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Chase Brown has scored 65.0 PPR points in 5 games, 13.0 a game, 3.1 a game less than the 16.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB7 with 282.6 PPR points in 17 games, 16.6 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 18.8 points (RB14 that week), 56 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 11.2 points (RB19 that week), 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 8.9 points (RB33 that week), 61 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 19.1 points (RB13 that week), 10 rushing yards on 9 carries, 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 7.0 points (RB31 that week), 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards.

Kyren Williams has scored 89.7 PPR points in 4 games, 22.4 a game, 8.1 a game more than the 14.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB9 with 263.3 PPR points in 17 games, 15.5 a game.

Week 1 vs SF: 15.5 points (RB15 that week), 41 rushing yards on 11 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 24 yards, 1 touchdown, 64 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYG: 15.7 points (RB8 that week), 85 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 1 touchdown, 55 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DEN: 21.8 points (RB5 that week), 88 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs PHI: 36.7 points (RB1 that week), 80 rushing yards on 16 carries, 10 of 13 targets for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 83 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Chase Brown has averaged 14.5 carries for 52 yards and 6.0 targets and 5.3 catches for 26 yards a game on 73 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 26 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against JAX he had 9 carries and 11 targets on 79 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Kyren Williams has averaged 13.5 carries for 74 yards and 6.3 targets and 5.3 catches for 43 yards a game on 70 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 44 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against PHI he had 16 carries and 13 targets on 83 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Chase Brown has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Kyren Williams has 11 games with his bye in Week 11.

ARI, Williams's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 14.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 2nd fewest to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Kyren Williams would want about 20 more added to make it even: a player like Tyler Shough, valued at 19. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

Tyler Shough's player page

Other trades for Chase Brown and Kyren Williams

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Chase Brown for Kyren Williams?

    No on value: Chase Brown is worth 90 and Kyren Williams 70, a loss of 20. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Chase Brown or Kyren Williams?

    Chase Brown, 90 to 70. He rates 16.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 14.3 over 11 for Kyren Williams, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number