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Pick'em edge

When the books think a pick'em number is wrong, that's your play. More or Less, reason attached.

Only football (NFL) has pick'em lines we can price right now.

The loudest calls

Real sportsbooks post the exact same number. 50% is a coin flip; the further from 50, the harder the books disagree with the board.

Football · NFL

  • Chuba HubbardFootballcarries 13.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 54% (4 price this number).
  • Chase BrownFootballcarries 14.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 54% (3 price this number).
  • Harrison MevisFootballfield goals made 1.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 54% (2 price this number).
  • Cam WardFootballrushing longestrush 6.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (2 price this number).
  • Brenton StrangeFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (13 price this number).
  • Jaxson DartFootballcarries 6.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (7 price this number).
  • Harrison ButkerFootballkicking totalpoints 7.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (3 price this number).
  • Tyjae SpearsFootballreceiving longestreception 9.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (5 price this number).
  • Mike GesickiFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (13 price this number).
  • Daniel JonesFootballcompletions 21.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (8 price this number).
  • Jake ElliottFootballkicking totalpoints 7.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (3 price this number).
  • Kyren WilliamsFootballcarries 13.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (5 price this number).
  • Tony PollardFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (6 price this number).
  • Andrei IosivasFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (8 price this number).
  • Chris BoswellFootballfield goals made 1.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (3 price this number).
  • Jalen CokerFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (12 price this number).
  • Lamar JacksonFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (14 price this number).
  • Wil LutzFootballkicking totalpoints 7.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (3 price this number).
  • Tony PollardFootballrushing longestrush 11.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (3 price this number).
  • Jacoby BrissettFootballpass attempts 35.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (10 price this number).
  • Keenan AllenFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (10 price this number).
  • Jadarian PriceFootballrushing longestrush 13.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (6 price this number).
  • Tetairoa McmillanFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 48% (13 price this number).
  • Brian ThomasFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 52% (12 price this number).
  • Jaylen WarrenFootballrushing yards 40.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 52% (2 price this number).
  • Derrick HenryFootballcarries 19.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 52% (11 price this number).
  • Jonathan TaylorFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 52% (11 price this number).
  • Jaylen WarrenFootballrushing longestrush 11.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 52% (5 price this number).
  • Tetairoa McmillanFootballreceiving longestreception 23.5on PrizePicks· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 52% (2 price this number).
  • Malik WillisFootballpass attempts 27.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 48% (7 price this number).
  • Dallas GoedertFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 52% (5 price this number).
  • Jakobi MeyersFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 52% (11 price this number).
  • Brian RobinsonFootballrushing longestrush 8.5on PrizePicks· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 48% (2 price this number).
  • Darnell WashingtonFootballreceiving longestreception 11.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 48% (5 price this number).
  • Travis Etienne JrFootballrushing longestrush 10.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 52% (2 price this number).

The number is off

The board asks one number, the books post another. The gap is the whole read; we never turn it into a made-up percentage.

Football · NFL

  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing+rushing yards 253.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 253.5. Books say 263.5.
  • Tyler ShoughFootballpassing yards 240.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 240.5. Books say 234.5.
  • Chuba HubbardFootballrushing yards 55.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 55.5. Books say 52.5.
  • Travis Etienne JrFootballrushing yards 43.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 43.5. Books say 41.5.
  • Saquon BarkleyFootballrushing yards 79.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 79.5. Books say 77.5.
  • Chase BrownFootballrushing yards 57.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 57.5. Books say 55.5.
  • Chase BrownFootballreceiving yards 21.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 21.5. Books say 19.5.
  • Ashton JeantyFootballreceiving yards 28.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 28.5. Books say 26.5.
  • Ashton JeantyFootballrushing yards 66.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 66.5. Books say 64.5.
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing longestcompletion 37.5on PrizePicks· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 37.5. Books say 39.5.
  • Malik NabersFootballreceiving yards 63.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 63.5. Books say 65.5.
  • Alec PierceFootballreceiving yards 43.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 43.5. Books say 45.5.
  • Kyle WilliamsFootballreceiving longestreception 7.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 7.5. Books say 9.5.
  • Jacoby BrissettFootballrushing yards 6.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 6.5. Books say 8.5.
  • Deebo SamuelFootballreceiving yards 33.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 33.5. Books say 35.5.
  • Jaxson DartFootballpassing+rushing yards 245.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 245.5. Books say 250.5.
  • Jeremiyah LoveFootballrushing+receiving yards 56.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 56.5. Books say 54.
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing touchdowns 2on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 2. Books say 0.75.
  • Cam WardFootballpassing yards 189.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 189.5. Books say 192.5.
  • Jacoby BrissettFootballpassing yards 220.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 220.5. Books say 217.5.
  • Daniel JonesFootballpassing+rushing yards 225.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 225.5. Books say 229.5.
  • Patrick MahomesFootballpassing+rushing yards 244.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 244.5. Books say 241.5.
  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing yards 251.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 251.5. Books say 249.5.
  • Bryce YoungFootballrushing yards 12.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 12.5. Books say 13.5.
  • Derrick HenryFootballrushing yards 89.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 89.5. Books say 90.5.
  • Alvin KamaraFootballreceiving yards 12.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 12.5. Books say 11.5.
  • Tyler ShoughFootballrushing yards 14.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 14.5. Books say 15.5.
  • Gunnar HelmFootballreceiving longestreception 12.5on PrizePicks· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 12.5. Books say 13.5.
  • Jalen HurtsFootballpassing longestcompletion 34.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 34.5. Books say 35.5.
  • Saquon BarkleyFootballreceiving yards 10.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 10.5. Books say 11.5.
  • Carnell TateFootballreceiving yards 40.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 40.5. Books say 41.5.
  • Cj StroudFootballcompletions 19.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 18.5.
  • Cj StroudFootballrushing yards 10.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 10.5. Books say 11.5.
  • Kyren WilliamsFootballrushing yards 62.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 62.5. Books say 61.5.
  • Isaiah LikelyFootballreceiving yards 45.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 45.5. Books say 44.5.
  • Davante AdamsFootballreceiving yards 45.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 45.5. Books say 44.5.
  • Kenneth Walker IiiFootballrushing yards 78.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 78.5. Books say 79.5.
  • Darnell WashingtonFootballreceiving yards 16.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 16.5. Books say 15.5.
  • Jeremiyah LoveFootballrushing yards 37.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 37.5. Books say 36.5.

Coverage check: Pick'em lines in our feed right now: PrizePicks 1,204 (Football), Underdog 2,293 (Football), Fliff 1,503 (Football). Sportsbook player props in our feed right now: Football, Basketball, Baseball, Soccer.

How to read this page: each row is one player and one number. The pick'em board asks you to pick More or Less on that number, and we look at what the real sportsbooks post for the same player and stat. When a book posts the same number, we turn its prices into a plain chance of More, with the bookmaker margin taken out, and print how many books priced it; three or more books make a full row, two show as a thin market. When the books only post a different number, we print both numbers and stop there, because turning a different number into a percentage would be a guess. This is a disagreement meter, not a promised winner: the boards shade numbers on purpose, your entry's payout is not part of this math, and promo or ladder lines are left out instead of being compared as normal lines. Touchdown rows only ever compare the standard anytime market.