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Pick'em edge

When the books think a pick'em number is wrong, that's your play. More or Less, reason attached.

Only football (NFL) has pick'em lines we can price right now.

The loudest calls

Real sportsbooks post the exact same number. 50% is a coin flip; the further from 50, the harder the books disagree with the board.

Football · NFL

  • Chase BrownFootballcarries 14.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 54% (3 price this number).
  • Brenton StrangeFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 46% (8 price this number).
  • Harrison MevisFootballfield goals made 1.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (2 price this number).
  • Jaxson DartFootballcarries 6.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (7 price this number).
  • Tyjae SpearsFootballreceiving longestreception 9.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (6 price this number).
  • Daniel JonesFootballcompletions 21.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (8 price this number).
  • Mike GesickiFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (13 price this number).
  • Tony PollardFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (12 price this number).
  • Kyren WilliamsFootballcarries 13.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (5 price this number).
  • Jake ElliottFootballkicking totalpoints 7.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (4 price this number).
  • Andrei IosivasFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (8 price this number).
  • Chris BoswellFootballfield goals made 1.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (3 price this number).
  • Malik WashingtonFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (12 price this number).
  • Wil LutzFootballkicking totalpoints 7.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (3 price this number).
  • Brian ThomasFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (7 price this number).
  • Tony PollardFootballrushing longestrush 11.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (3 price this number).
  • Bo NixFootballpass attempts 33.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (5 price this number).
  • Aaron RodgersFootballpass attempts 35.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (6 price this number).
  • Jacoby BrissettFootballpass attempts 35.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessBooks say 47% (10 price this number).
  • Denzel BostonFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (11 price this number).
  • Keenan AllenFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (10 price this number).
  • Baker MayfieldFootballpass attempts 27.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (8 price this number).
  • Cam WardFootballrushing longestrush 6.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (4 price this number).
  • Jadarian PriceFootballrushing longestrush 13.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (6 price this number).
  • Tyjae SpearsFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (12 price this number).

The number is off

The board asks one number, the books post another. The gap is the whole read; we never turn it into a made-up percentage.

Football · NFL

  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing+rushing yards 255.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 255.5. Books say 263.5.
  • Jaxson DartFootballpassing+rushing yards 245.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 245.5. Books say 250.5.
  • Jeremiyah LoveFootballrushing+receiving yards 56.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 56.5. Books say 54.
  • Daniel JonesFootballpassing+rushing yards 225.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 225.5. Books say 229.5.
  • Chase BrownFootballrushing yards 57.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 57.5. Books say 55.5.
  • Chase BrownFootballreceiving yards 21.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 21.5. Books say 19.5.
  • Malik NabersFootballreceiving yards 63.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 63.5. Books say 65.5.
  • Alec PierceFootballreceiving yards 43.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 43.5. Books say 45.5.
  • Kyle WilliamsFootballreceiving longestreception 7.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 7.5. Books say 9.5.
  • Jacoby BrissettFootballrushing yards 6.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 6.5. Books say 8.5.
  • Deebo SamuelFootballreceiving yards 33.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 33.5. Books say 35.5.
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing touchdowns 2on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 2. Books say 0.75.
  • Brock PurdyFootballpassing touchdowns 2on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 2. Books say 0.75.
  • Patrick MahomesFootballpassing+rushing yards 244.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 244.5. Books say 241.5.
  • Jacoby BrissettFootballpassing yards 220.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 220.5. Books say 217.5.
  • Jordan LoveFootballpassing+rushing yards 264.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 264.5. Books say 267.5.
  • Bucky IrvingFootballreceiving yards 14.5on PrizePicks· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 14.5. Books say 16.
  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing yards 251.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 251.5. Books say 249.5.
  • Aaron RodgersFootballpassing+rushing yards 207.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 207.5. Books say 209.5.
  • Trevor LawrenceFootballpassing yards 220.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 220.5. Books say 222.5.
  • Carnell TateFootballreceiving yards 40.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 40.5. Books say 41.5.
  • Cj StroudFootballrushing yards 10.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 10.5. Books say 11.5.
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing longestcompletion 38.5on PrizePicks· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 38.5. Books say 39.5.
  • Kyren WilliamsFootballrushing yards 62.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 62.5. Books say 61.5.
  • Isaiah LikelyFootballreceiving yards 45.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 45.5. Books say 44.5.
  • Davante AdamsFootballreceiving yards 45.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 45.5. Books say 44.5.
  • Kenneth Walker IiiFootballrushing yards 78.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 78.5. Books say 79.5.
  • Darnell WashingtonFootballreceiving yards 16.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 16.5. Books say 15.5.
  • Courtland SuttonFootballreceiving yards 41.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 41.5. Books say 40.5.
  • Denzel BostonFootballreceiving longestreception 16.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 16.5. Books say 17.5.
  • Jeremiyah LoveFootballrushing yards 37.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 37.5. Books say 36.5.
  • Malik WillisFootballcarries 6.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 6.5. Books say 7.5.

Coverage check: Pick'em lines in our feed right now: PrizePicks 1,211 (Football), Underdog 2,273 (Football), Fliff 1,516 (Football). Sportsbook player props in our feed right now: Football, Basketball, Baseball, Soccer.

How to read this page: each row is one player and one number. The pick'em board asks you to pick More or Less on that number, and we look at what the real sportsbooks post for the same player and stat. When a book posts the same number, we turn its prices into a plain chance of More, with the bookmaker margin taken out, and print how many books priced it; three or more books make a full row, two show as a thin market. When the books only post a different number, we print both numbers and stop there, because turning a different number into a percentage would be a guess. This is a disagreement meter, not a promised winner: the boards shade numbers on purpose, your entry's payout is not part of this math, and promo or ladder lines are left out instead of being compared as normal lines. Touchdown rows only ever compare the standard anytime market.