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Pick'em edge

When the books think a pick'em number is wrong, that's your play. More or Less, reason attached.

Only football (NFL) has pick'em lines we can price right now.

The loudest calls

Real sportsbooks post the exact same number. 50% is a coin flip; the further from 50, the harder the books disagree with the board.

Football · NFL

  • Kirk CousinsFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff + Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 31% (6 price this number).
  • Aaron RodgersFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 69% (6 price this number).
  • Jaxson DartFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 31% (10 price this number).
  • Tyler ShoughFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 32% (13 price this number).
  • Daniel JonesFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 33% (14 price this number).
  • Adam TrautmanFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 34% (9 price this number).
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 34% (2 price this number).
  • Jalen McmillanFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 35% (2 price this number).
  • Kayshon BoutteFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 36% (2 price this number).
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 64% (8 price this number).
  • Noah GrayFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 36% (8 price this number).
  • Gunnar HelmFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 36% (6 price this number).
  • Tyquan ThorntonFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 36% (11 price this number).
  • Dak PrescottFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 64% (14 price this number).
  • Will ReichardFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 63% (2 price this number).
  • Jalen HurtsFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 37% (10 price this number).
  • Cam WardFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 62% (8 price this number).
  • Drew StevensFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 38% (3 price this number).
  • Wil LutzFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 38% (2 price this number).
  • Rashee RiceFootballreceiving receptions 5.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 39% (2 price this number).
  • Lamar JacksonFootballinterceptions thrown 0.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 39% (4 price this number).
  • Saquon BarkleyFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (9 price this number).
  • Cam LittleFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Jayden DanielsFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 39% (15 price this number).
  • Jaylen WarrenFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (5 price this number).
  • Wil LutzFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (3 price this number).
  • Cameron DickerFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (3 price this number).
  • Roman WilsonFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (7 price this number).
  • Kyle MonangaiFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (6 price this number).
  • Dk MetcalfFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (4 price this number).
  • Pat BryantFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (11 price this number).
  • Jaylen WarrenFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 40% (6 price this number).
  • Pat FreiermuthFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (6 price this number).
  • Dominic ZvadaFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 60% (2 price this number).
  • Carson WentzFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (6 price this number).
  • Lajohntay WesterFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (5 price this number).
  • Gunnar HelmFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (7 price this number).
  • Alec PierceFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (8 price this number).
  • Jordan AddisonFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (6 price this number).
  • Josh DownsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog + Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (4 price this number).
  • Tyler LoopFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 59% (2 price this number).
  • Dk MetcalfFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (8 price this number).
  • Ashton JeantyFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (10 price this number).
  • Kenneth Walker IiiFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Underdog + Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (3 price this number).
  • Kayshon BoutteFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (7 price this number).
  • Joey SlyeFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 41% (2 price this number).
  • Daniel CarlsonFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (2 price this number).
  • Tee HigginsFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 41% (3 price this number).
  • Andy BorregalesFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (3 price this number).
  • David MontgomeryFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (8 price this number).
  • Jalen HurtsFootballinterceptions thrown 0.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (11 price this number).
  • Mack HollinsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (11 price this number).
  • Darnell WashingtonFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (12 price this number).
  • Tee HigginsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (8 price this number).
  • Evan EngramFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (8 price this number).
  • Andy BorregalesFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (3 price this number).
  • Alvin KamaraFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (7 price this number).
  • Terry MclaurinFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Underdog + Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (9 price this number).
  • Spencer ShraderFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 58% (2 price this number).
  • Patrick MahomesFootballinterceptions thrown 0.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (12 price this number).

The number is off

The board asks one number, the books post another. The gap is the whole read; we never turn it into a made-up percentage.

Football · NFL

  • Cam WardFootballpassing+rushing yards 224.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 224.5. Books say 199.
  • Cam WardFootballrushing longestrush 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 6.5.
  • David MontgomeryFootballreceiving yards 19.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 11.5.
  • Caleb WilliamsFootballrushing yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 3.5.
  • Drake MayeFootballrushing yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.
  • Javonte WilliamsFootballrushing yards 79.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 79.5. Books say 74.5.
  • Travis Etienne JrFootballrushing yards, 1Q 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 9.5.
  • Derrick HenryFootballrushing yards, 1Q 24.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 24.5. Books say 19.5.
  • Rhamondre StevensonFootballrushing yards, 1Q 14.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 9.5.
  • Patrick MahomesFootballrushing yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Daniel JonesFootballrushing yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Tyler ShoughFootballpassing yards 240.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 240.5. Books say 234.5.
  • Tj HockensonFootballreceiving longestreception 9.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 9.5. Books say 13.5.
  • Kyle MonangaiFootballrushing+receiving yards 47.5on Fliff + Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 47.5. Books say 51.5.
  • Woody MarksFootballreceiving yards 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 10.5.
  • Jonathan TaylorFootballrushing+receiving yards 109.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 109.5. Books say 105.5.
  • Will ReichardFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.125.
  • Daniel CarlsonFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.125.
  • Cam LittleFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.125.
  • Mack HollinsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 3.
  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing+rushing yards 255.5on PrizePicks + Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 255.5. Books say 263.5.
  • Patrick MahomesFootballpassing+rushing yards 249.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 249.5. Books say 241.5.
  • Xavier WorthyFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 3.5.
  • Justin JeffersonFootballreceiving yards 74.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 74.5. Books say 77.5.
  • Aaron RodgersFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing+rushing yards 256.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 256.5. Books say 263.5.
  • Hunter HenryFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.
  • Drew StevensFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 1.5. Books say 2.5.
  • Brandon AubreyFootballextrapoints kicksmade 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 3.5. Books say 2.5.
  • Tyler LoopFootballextrapoints kicksmade 3.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 3.5. Books say 2.5.
  • Jake ElliottFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 1.5. Books say 2.5.
  • Andy BorregalesFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 1.5. Books say 2.5.
  • Chris OlaveFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 9.5.
  • Isaiah LikelyFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Tyler WarrenFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Travis KelceFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Josh DownsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Dak PrescottFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.75.
  • Drake MayeFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.75.
  • Bo NixFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.75.
  • Kalif RaymondFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Jauan JenningsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Rome OdunzeFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Jordan AddisonFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Aaron JonesFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Tj HockensonFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Kenneth Walker IiiFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Jonathan TaylorFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Alec PierceFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Jaxson DartFootballpassing+rushing yards 245.5on Underdog + PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 245.5. Books say 250.5.
  • Davante AdamsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Aaron RodgersFootballpassing yards, 1Q 41.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 41.5. Books say 45.5.
  • Rachaad WhiteFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 3.5. Books say 1.5.
  • Javonte WilliamsFootballrushing yards 72.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 72.5. Books say 74.5.
  • Cole KmetFootballreceiving longestreception 8.5on Fliff + PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 8.5. Books say 10.5.
  • Tetairoa McmillanFootballreceiving longestreception 21.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 21.5. Books say 23.5.
  • Travis Etienne JrFootballrushing yards 43.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 43.5. Books say 41.5.
  • Alvin KamaraFootballreceiving receptions 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 2.5.
  • Justice HillFootballrushing+receiving yards 32.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 32.5. Books say 30.5.
  • Travis Etienne JrFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 3.5. Books say 1.5.

Coverage check: Pick'em lines in our feed right now: PrizePicks 1,170 (Football), Underdog 2,309 (Football), Fliff 1,521 (Football). Sportsbook player props in our feed right now: Football, Basketball, Baseball, Soccer.

How to read this page: each row is one player and one number. The pick'em board asks you to pick More or Less on that number, and we look at what the real sportsbooks post for the same player and stat. When a book posts the same number, we turn its prices into a plain chance of More, with the bookmaker margin taken out, and print how many books priced it; three or more books make a full row, two show as a thin market. When the books only post a different number, we print both numbers and stop there, because turning a different number into a percentage would be a guess. This is a disagreement meter, not a promised winner: the boards shade numbers on purpose, your entry's payout is not part of this math, and promo or ladder lines are left out instead of being compared as normal lines. Touchdown rows only ever compare the standard anytime market.