Aaron Jones Sr. or Rico Dowdle: who should I start?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Aaron Jones Sr. at 15.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 books. That is the 36th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

The player markets price Rico Dowdle at 9.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 books. That is the 97th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Aaron Jones Sr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 18th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 137.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Rico Dowdle: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 88th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 96.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 46 percent of MIN snaps, taken 39 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 31 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 10 third down targets and had 1 of its 2 chances inside the five.

His 1 target have averaged 4.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against GB he carried 12 times for 40 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 58 percent of PIT snaps, taken 44 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 10 third down targets and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 0.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against ATL he carried 8 times for 15 yards, caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.

That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Rico Dowdle was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Rico Dowdle scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Aaron Jones Sr. 9.9, 2.8 a game between them.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished RB41 that year and Rico Dowdle RB18.

Rico Dowdle had 104 more carries than Aaron Jones Sr., 236 to 132.

Rico Dowdle had 11 more catches than Aaron Jones Sr., 39 to 28.

This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger snap share, 58 percent against 46 percent.

This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger share of the carries, 44 percent against 39 percent.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and Rico Dowdle in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

5.7 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.