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Should I start Breece Hall or Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 1:41 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Breece Hall: Listed Questionable (Quadriceps) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 10 verdict

Start

RB · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
12.3
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs RB
26.5
3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
68 of 100 at RB
Snap share
54%
Through Week 9
Target share
11%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · MIN · at GB

Market projects
8.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs RB
25.0
7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
29 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Start Hall or Jones? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Breece Hall: 53 percent of the snaps and 62 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Aaron Jones Sr.'s 32 percent of the snaps and 30 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Breece Hall for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Breece Hall 32 (4.5 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Breece Hall over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB31 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Market-based projection
10.4 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
98

RB48 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-3

Market-based projection
7.5 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
201

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Breece Hall, and the board ranks him 98th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 201st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Breece Hall is 3.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 1.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Breece Hall's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Breece Hall has been on the field for 54 percent of NYJ snaps, taken 62 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 4 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against GB he carried 16 times for 29 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against DET he carried 13 times for 32 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against KC he carried 15 times for 61 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 32 percent of MIN snaps, taken 32 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 8 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 0.8 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against BUF he carried 5 times for 16 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Breece Hall played 16 games and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.

He carried 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 more yards.

That came to 15.2 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Breece Hall was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Breece Hall scored 13.0 PPR points a game and Aaron Jones Sr. 9.9, 3.1 a game between them.

Breece Hall finished RB19 that year and Aaron Jones Sr. RB41.

Breece Hall had 111 more carries than Aaron Jones Sr., 243 to 132.

Breece Hall had 8 more catches than Aaron Jones Sr., 36 to 28.

This season Breece Hall holds the bigger snap share, 54 percent against 32 percent.

This season Breece Hall holds the bigger share of the carries, 62 percent against 32 percent.

Byes and availability

Breece Hall is off in Week 13 and Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Breece Hall for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Breece Hall 32 (4.5 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Breece Hall over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Breece Hall?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Breece Hall 32 (4.5 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Breece Hall over Aaron Jones Sr.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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