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Should I start Rico Dowdle or Hunter Henry in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 11:21 AM ET.

Start Rico Dowdle: his market-based projection is 1.2 points a game ahead of Hunter Henry's this season.

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Hunter Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Hunter Henry projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.6 a game over 7 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB7 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs carries line 3-2

Market-based projection
9.6 pts a game

TE4 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-7

Market-based projection
8.4 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference1.2 points a game
  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Rico Dowdle's market-based projection is 9.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 22nd highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

Hunter Henry's market-based projection is 8.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 26th highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rico Dowdle, and the board ranks him 27th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Hunter Henry, and the board ranks him 28th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 40 percent of PIT snaps, taken 37 percent of the carries, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 0.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 7 times for 40 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NO he carried 9 times for 41 yards, caught 6 of 6 targets for 45 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he carried 15 times for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Hunter Henry has been on the field for 64 percent of NE snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 65 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 6.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 7 of 7 targets for 71 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against MIA he caught 3 of 3 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against GB he caught 3 of 3 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.

That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Hunter Henry played 17 games and scored 178.8 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE9.

He caught 60 of 87 targets for 768 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 22 red zone targets.

That came to 5.1 targets a game, a 69 percent catch rate and 12.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Rico Dowdle scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Hunter Henry 10.5, 2.2 a game between them.

Rico Dowdle finished RB18 and Hunter Henry TE9, which are two different ladders.

Rico Dowdle is a running back and Hunter Henry a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Rico Dowdle is off in Week 9 and Hunter Henry in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Hunter Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Hunter Henry projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.6 a game over 7 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games).

  • Should I drop Hunter Henry for Rico Dowdle?

    No. Keep Hunter Henry: he projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.6 a game over 7 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games).

Should I drop Hunter Henry?Should I drop Rico Dowdle?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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