Baker Mayfield or Jayden Reed: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Baker Mayfield at 16.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 26th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Jayden Reed at 8.8 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 16 books. That is the 109th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Baker Mayfield: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 94th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 44.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jayden Reed: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 95th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 106.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 100 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 36 times and thrown 5.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 6 of 36 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 1 against CIN he completed 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 31 yards.

Through Week 1, Jayden Reed has been on the field for 57 percent of GB snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 10 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 7.1 air yards.

In Week 1 against MIN he caught 3 of 7 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jayden Reed played 7 games and scored 48.5 PPR points, 6.9 a game, finishing WR114.

He caught 19 of 22 targets for 207 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 86 percent catch rate and 10.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield was available for 10 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Jayden Reed 6.9, 9.7 a game between them.

Baker Mayfield finished QB12 and Jayden Reed WR114, which are two different ladders.

Baker Mayfield is a quarterback and Jayden Reed a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10 and Jayden Reed in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

7.7 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.