Jayden Reed or Alec Pierce: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Jayden Reed at 9.0 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 16 books. That is the 107th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Alec Pierce at 8.7 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 112th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jayden Reed: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 106.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Alec Pierce: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 98th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 78.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Jayden Reed has been on the field for 57 percent of GB snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 10 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 7.1 air yards.

In Week 1 against MIN he caught 3 of 7 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Alec Pierce has been on the field for 59 percent of IND snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 5 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 17.2 air yards.

In Week 1 against BAL he caught 4 of 6 targets for 61 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jayden Reed played 7 games and scored 48.5 PPR points, 6.9 a game, finishing WR114.

He caught 19 of 22 targets for 207 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 86 percent catch rate and 10.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Alec Pierce played 15 games and scored 183.3 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR28.

He caught 47 of 84 targets for 1003 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets.

That came to 5.6 targets a game, a 56 percent catch rate and 21.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Alec Pierce was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Alec Pierce scored 12.2 PPR points a game and Jayden Reed 6.9, 5.3 a game between them.

Jayden Reed finished WR114 that year and Alec Pierce WR28.

Alec Pierce had 62 more targets than Jayden Reed, 84 to 22.

Alec Pierce had 796 more receiving yards than Jayden Reed, 1003 to 207.

This season Alec Pierce holds the bigger snap share, 59 percent against 57 percent.

This season Alec Pierce holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 18 percent.

Byes and availability

Jayden Reed is off in Week 11 and Alec Pierce in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.