Christian McCaffrey or Breece Hall: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Christian McCaffrey at 21.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 books. That is the 5th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Breece Hall at 15.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 books. That is the 43rd highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Christian McCaffrey: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 3rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Breece Hall: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 49.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Christian McCaffrey has been on the field for 54 percent of SF snaps, taken 36 percent of the carries, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 15 third down targets, had 4 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 3 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have averaged 0.7 air yards.

In Week 1 against LAR he carried 10 times for 68 yards, caught 5 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against MIA he carried 10 times for 23 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 43 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 2, Breece Hall has been on the field for 62 percent of NYJ snaps, taken 60 percent of the carries, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 2 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 0.3 air yards.

In Week 1 against TEN he carried 22 times for 102 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 16 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 2 against GB he carried 16 times for 29 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Christian McCaffrey played 17 games and scored 416.6 PPR points, 24.5 a game, finishing RB1.

He carried 311 times for 1202 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 102 of 129 targets for 924 more yards.

That came to 18.3 carries a game at 3.9 yards a carry and 6.0 catches a game.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Breece Hall played 16 games and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.

He carried 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 more yards.

That came to 15.2 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Christian McCaffrey was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Christian McCaffrey scored 24.5 PPR points a game and Breece Hall 13.0, 11.5 a game between them.

Christian McCaffrey finished RB1 that year and Breece Hall RB19.

Christian McCaffrey had 68 more carries than Breece Hall, 311 to 243.

Christian McCaffrey had 66 more catches than Breece Hall, 102 to 36.

This season Breece Hall holds the bigger snap share, 62 percent against 54 percent.

This season Breece Hall holds the bigger share of the carries, 60 percent against 36 percent.

Byes and availability

Christian McCaffrey is off in Week 8 and Breece Hall in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

5.8 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.