Should I start Jaylen Warren or Breece Hall in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Jaylen Warren's market-based projection is 16.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 23rd highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Breece Hall's market-based projection is 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 33rd highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylen Warren, and the board ranks him 19th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Breece Hall, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Jaylen Warren has been on the field for 72 percent of PIT snaps, taken 65 percent of the carries, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 3 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 36 targets have come 1.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 14 times for 50 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 28 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NO he carried 18 times for 101 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he carried 17 times for 143 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Breece Hall has been on the field for 54 percent of NYJ snaps, taken 62 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 4 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against GB he carried 16 times for 29 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against DET he carried 13 times for 32 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against KC he carried 15 times for 61 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaylen Warren played 16 games and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He carried 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 more yards.

That came to 13.2 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 2-3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Breece Hall played 16 games and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.

He carried 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 more yards.

That came to 15.2 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 16 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Jaylen Warren scored 13.6 PPR points a game and Breece Hall 13.0, 0.6 a game between them.

Jaylen Warren finished RB17 that year and Breece Hall RB19.

Breece Hall had 32 more carries than Jaylen Warren, 243 to 211.

Jaylen Warren had 4 more catches than Breece Hall, 40 to 36.

This season Jaylen Warren holds the bigger snap share, 72 percent against 54 percent.

This season Jaylen Warren holds the bigger share of the carries, 65 percent against 62 percent.

Byes and availability

Jaylen Warren is off in Week 9 and Breece Hall in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.