Brian Thomas Jr. or Michael Wilson: who should I start?
Both players' season price from the sportsbooks, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.
Updated Sep 19, 2026 at 11:16 AM ET
Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the books have not posted a whole price on Michael Wilson, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.
WR50 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 4-10
- Books price
- 7.5 pts a game
- Draft pick
- no consensus
WR67 · ARI · bye 14
2025 vs catches line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 163
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 17
The gap
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Board size242 draftable players
Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the sportsbooks' price and nothing else.
Where the draft room stands
Drafters have formed no consensus on Brian Thomas Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 91.
Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Wilson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 163rd overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 97.
What the sportsbooks price
The player markets price Brian Thomas Jr. at 7.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 books. That is the 140th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.
The books have Michael Wilson at 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 15 books. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's price needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Michael Wilson's price is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 1
Through Week 1, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 35 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 0 of the offence's 2 third down targets and had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five.
His 3 targets have averaged 14.7 air yards.
In Week 1 against CLE he caught 3 of 3 targets for 40 yards and did not score.
Through Week 1, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 85 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 2 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.
His 7 targets have averaged 11.9 air yards.
In Week 1 against LAC he caught 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.
That came to 6.5 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.
He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.
That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Michael Wilson was available for 3 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Michael Wilson scored 13.0 PPR points a game and Brian Thomas Jr. 9.9, 3.1 a game between them.
Brian Thomas Jr. finished WR42 that year and Michael Wilson WR10.
Michael Wilson had 35 more targets than Brian Thomas Jr., 126 to 91.
Michael Wilson had 299 more receiving yards than Brian Thomas Jr., 1006 to 707.
This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 85 percent against 35 percent.
This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 14 percent.
Byes and availability
Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7 and Michael Wilson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.
What would change the answer
Michael Wilson is only part priced, so the books' half of this page is whole for only one of them.
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