Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10?
Updated Nov 11, 10:16 PM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Start Adonai Mitchell: 65 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Brian Thomas Jr.'s 43 percent of the snaps and 5 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 24 (3.4 a game over 7 games).
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
WR74 · NYJ · bye 13
2026 vs anytime td line 1-4
- Market-based projection
- 10.4 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 191
WR77 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 2-6
- Market-based projection
- 4.0 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 194
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The gap
- Board size320 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Adonai Mitchell, and the board ranks him 191st overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 194th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market has Brian Thomas Jr. at 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 14 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Adonai Mitchell's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 9
Through Week 9, Adonai Mitchell has been on the field for 70 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 12 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 13 two minute targets.
His 34 targets have averaged 17.6 air yards.
In Week 7 against MIA he caught 0 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against LV he caught 7 of 9 targets for 142 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 9 against KC he caught 0 of 7 targets for 0 yards and did not score.
Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 43 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 1 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.
His 2 targets have averaged 19.0 air yards.
In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 9 against BAL he was not given the ball.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Adonai Mitchell played 16 games and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.
He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.
That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.
That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Adonai Mitchell was available for 2 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Adonai Mitchell 5.5, 4.4 a game between them.
Adonai Mitchell finished WR73 that year and Brian Thomas Jr. WR42.
Brian Thomas Jr. had 17 more targets than Adonai Mitchell, 91 to 74.
Brian Thomas Jr. had 254 more receiving yards than Adonai Mitchell, 707 to 453.
This season Adonai Mitchell holds the bigger snap share, 70 percent against 43 percent.
This season Adonai Mitchell holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 5 percent.
Byes and availability
Adonai Mitchell is off in Week 13 and Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 24 (3.4 a game over 7 games).
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Adonai Mitchell?
No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 24 (3.4 a game over 7 games).
Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Adonai Mitchell playing Week 10?
- Is Brian Thomas Jr. playing Week 10?
- Jets depth chart
- Jaguars depth chart
- Week 10 WR rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings







