Brian Thomas Jr. or Adonai Mitchell: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Brian Thomas Jr. at 7.5 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 16 books. That is the 139th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Adonai Mitchell at 7.3 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 143rd highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brian Thomas Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 117th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 91.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Adonai Mitchell: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 121st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 214.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 35 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 2 third down targets and had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five.

His 3 targets have averaged 14.7 air yards.

In Week 1 against CLE he caught 3 of 3 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Adonai Mitchell has been on the field for 69 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 5 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have averaged 19.7 air yards.

In Week 1 against TEN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 60 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6.5 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Adonai Mitchell played 16 games and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Adonai Mitchell was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Adonai Mitchell 5.5, 4.4 a game between them.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished WR42 that year and Adonai Mitchell WR73.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 17 more targets than Adonai Mitchell, 91 to 74.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 254 more receiving yards than Adonai Mitchell, 707 to 453.

This season Adonai Mitchell holds the bigger snap share, 69 percent against 35 percent.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger target share, 14 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7 and Adonai Mitchell in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.