Jaylen Waddle or Luther Burden III: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Jaylen Waddle at 12.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 books. That is the 63rd highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Luther Burden III at 12.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 17 books. That is the 64th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jaylen Waddle: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 39th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 15; 2QB: ADP 74.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Luther Burden III: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 41st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 80.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Jaylen Waddle has been on the field for 75 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 8 third down targets and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have averaged 4.3 air yards.

In Week 1 against KC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 2 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 73 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 5 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 7.2 air yards.

In Week 1 against CAR he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaylen Waddle played 16 games and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.3 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 14.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jaylen Waddle was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jaylen Waddle scored 12.1 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 3.6 a game between them.

Jaylen Waddle finished WR24 that year and Luther Burden III WR48.

Jaylen Waddle had 40 more targets than Luther Burden III, 100 to 60.

Jaylen Waddle had 258 more receiving yards than Luther Burden III, 910 to 652.

This season Jaylen Waddle holds the bigger snap share, 75 percent against 73 percent.

This season Luther Burden III holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 11 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 10, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.