Geno Smith or Luther Burden III: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Geno Smith at 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 39th highest figure of the 176 players the books price.

The player markets price Luther Burden III at 8.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 120th highest figure of the 176 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Geno Smith: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 121st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 122.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Luther Burden III: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 79.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 74 times and thrown 6.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 74 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 1 against TEN he completed 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

In Week 2 against GB he completed 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 17 yards.

Through Week 2, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 65 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have averaged 10.3 air yards.

In Week 1 against CAR he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against MIN he caught 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 15 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Geno Smith scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 4.2 a game between them.

Geno Smith finished QB23 and Luther Burden III WR48, which are two different ladders.

Geno Smith is a quarterback and Luther Burden III a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Geno Smith is off in Week 13 and Luther Burden III in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

7.5 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.