Keenan Allen or Luther Burden III: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Keenan Allen at 8.3 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 14 books. That is the 123rd highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Luther Burden III at 8.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 124th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Keenan Allen: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 198.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Luther Burden III: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 116th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 79.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Keenan Allen has been on the field for 58 percent of IND snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 13 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 4.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against BAL he caught 6 of 6 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against KC he caught 1 of 5 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

Through Week 2, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 65 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have averaged 10.3 air yards.

In Week 1 against CAR he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against MIN he caught 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Keenan Allen played 17 games and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Keenan Allen was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Keenan Allen scored 10.7 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 2.2 a game between them.

Keenan Allen finished WR29 that year and Luther Burden III WR48.

Keenan Allen had 62 more targets than Luther Burden III, 122 to 60.

Keenan Allen had 125 more receiving yards than Luther Burden III, 777 to 652.

This season Luther Burden III holds the bigger snap share, 65 percent against 58 percent.

This season Luther Burden III holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 19 percent.

Byes and availability

Keenan Allen is off in Week 13 and Luther Burden III in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.