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Ajay Mitchell vs Darius Garland: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Darius Garland in points leagues (32.2 fantasy points a game to 26.3) and Ajay Mitchell in 9-cat leagues (97th against 99th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Ajay Mitchell
PGSGOKCage 24GTD
Points leagues
#128
26.3 FP/G, slot 11.08, $5
9-cat leagues
#97
-1.3 z, slot 9.01, $8

Game-time decision (Rest)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Darius Garland
PGLACage 26
Points leagues
#70
32.2 FP/G, slot 6.10, $14
9-cat leagues
#99
-1.3 z, slot 9.03, $8

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Darius Garland. 32.2 fantasy points per game against 26.3, 70th on our board to 128th.

9-cat leagues: Ajay Mitchell instead, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (97th to 99th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 6 (REB, STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Darius Garland in 3 (PTS, AST and 3PM).

Per 36 minutes, Darius Garland produces more: 38.8 fantasy points to 36.6, on 29.9 minutes a night against 25.8. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Darius Garland 3. For that week alone, start Darius Garland: 96.5 projected fantasy points to 78.8 for Ajay Mitchell.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameAjay MitchellDarius Garland
Fantasy points per game26.332.2
Minutes25.829.9
PointsPTS13.618.8
ReboundsREB3.32.4
AssistsAST3.66.7
StealsSTL1.21.0
BlocksBLK0.30.2
Threes3PM1.12.7
Field goal %FG%48.5%46.0%
Free throw %FT%87.0%86.1%
TurnoversTO1.42.9
Games, 2025-265745

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Ajay MitchellDarius Garland
Fantasy points36.638.8
Points18.922.6
Rebounds4.62.9
Assists5.08.1
Steals1.71.2
Blocks0.40.2
Threes1.53.3
Turnovers2.03.5

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAjay MitchellDarius Garland
PointsPTS-0.5+0.4
ReboundsREB-1.1-1.6
AssistsAST-0.0+1.5
StealsSTL+0.6-0.2
BlocksBLK-0.8-1.1
Threes3PM-0.6+1.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.0-0.7
Free throw percentageFT%+0.6+0.5
TurnoversTO+0.6-1.3
Total-1.3-1.3

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, steals, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Darius Garland.

PuntAjay MitchellDarius Garland
PTS-0.8 (#96)-1.8 (#144)
REB-0.2 (#65)+0.3 (#55)
AST-1.3 (#117)-2.9 (#193)
STL-2.0 (#138)-1.2 (#106)
BLK-0.6 (#76)-0.2 (#67)
3PM-0.8 (#90)-2.5 (#158)
FG%-1.4 (#98)-0.5 (#74)
FT%-1.9 (#132)-2.0 (#133)
TO-1.9 (#107)+0.0 (#60)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Ajay Mitchell: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC), listed GTD.
  • Darius Garland: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Ajay Mitchell: 21.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.3 on the board.
  • Darius Garland: 31.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 32.2 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Ajay Mitchell or Darius Garland in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Darius Garland. 32.2 fantasy points per game against 26.3, 70th on our board to 128th. 9-cat leagues: Ajay Mitchell instead, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (97th to 99th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Ajay Mitchell or Darius Garland?

    Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 6 (REB, STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Darius Garland in 3 (PTS, AST and 3PM).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Ajay Mitchell or Darius Garland?

    Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Darius Garland 3. For that week alone, start Darius Garland: 96.5 projected fantasy points to 78.8 for Ajay Mitchell.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number