Brandon Ingram vs Franz Wagner: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Brandon Ingram in points leagues (35.7 fantasy points a game to 33.9) and Franz Wagner in 9-cat leagues (75th against 78th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #46
- 35.7 FP/G, slot 4.10, $20
- 9-cat leagues
- #78
- -0.6 z, slot 7.06, $12
Out (Heel)
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #56
- 33.9 FP/G, slot 5.08, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #75
- -0.5 z, slot 7.03, $13
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Brandon Ingram. 35.7 fantasy points per game against 33.9, 46th on our board to 56th.
9-cat leagues: Franz Wagner instead, -0.5 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (75th to 78th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Brandon Ingram is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and 3PM) and Franz Wagner in 4 (STL, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Franz Wagner produces more: 40.7 fantasy points to 38.0, on 30.0 minutes a night against 33.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Brandon Ingram plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Franz Wagner 3. For that week alone, start Franz Wagner: 101.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Brandon Ingram.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Brandon Ingram | Franz Wagner |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 35.7 | 33.9 |
| Minutes | 33.8 | 30.0 |
| PointsPTS | 21.5 | 20.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| AssistsAST | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.7% | 48.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 82.0% | 82.3% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 77 | 34 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Brandon Ingram | Franz Wagner |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 38.0 | 40.7 |
| Points | 22.9 | 24.7 |
| Rebounds | 5.9 | 6.3 |
| Assists | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 2.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Brandon Ingram | Franz Wagner |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.8 | +0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| AssistsAST | +0.0 | -0.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.1 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | +0.1 | -0.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.3 | +0.4 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.7 | +0.2 |
| Total | -0.6 | -0.5 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Brandon Ingram.
| Punt | Brandon Ingram | Franz Wagner |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.5 (#129) | -1.2 (#115) |
| REB | -0.5 (#73) | -0.4 (#70) |
| AST | -0.7 (#78) | -0.4 (#71) |
| STL | +0.1 (#61) | -0.4 (#72) |
| BLK | -0.7 (#78) | +0.1 (#64) |
| 3PM | -0.8 (#91) | -0.4 (#74) |
| FG% | -0.4 (#68) | -0.6 (#78) |
| FT% | -1.0 (#92) | -1.0 (#98) |
| TO | +0.1 (#57) | -0.8 (#77) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Brandon Ingram: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC), listed Out.
- Franz Wagner: 3 games (Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK).
Recent games
- Brandon Ingram: 33.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 35.7 on the board.
- Franz Wagner: 23.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 33.9 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Brandon Ingram or Franz Wagner in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Brandon Ingram. 35.7 fantasy points per game against 33.9, 46th on our board to 56th. 9-cat leagues: Franz Wagner instead, -0.5 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (75th to 78th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Brandon Ingram or Franz Wagner?
Category by category, Brandon Ingram is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and 3PM) and Franz Wagner in 4 (STL, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Brandon Ingram or Franz Wagner?
Brandon Ingram plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Franz Wagner 3. For that week alone, start Franz Wagner: 101.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Brandon Ingram.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number