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Bub Carrington vs Jordan Goodwin: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Jordan Goodwin in both formats: 22.0 fantasy points a game to 21.9 in points leagues, and 141st against 262nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Bub Carrington
PGSGWASage 21
Points leagues
#184
21.9 FP/G, slot 16.04
9-cat leagues
#262
-5.2 z, slot 22.10
Jordan Goodwin
SGSFPHXage 27
Points leagues
#182
22.0 FP/G, slot 16.02
9-cat leagues
#141
-2.3 z, slot 12.09, $3

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Jordan Goodwin. 22.0 fantasy points per game against 21.9, 182nd on our board to 184th.

9-cat leagues: Jordan Goodwin again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -5.2 (141st to 262nd).

Category by category, Bub Carrington is ahead in 3 (PTS, AST and 3PM) and Jordan Goodwin in 3 (REB, STL and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Jordan Goodwin produces more: 35.2 fantasy points to 28.5, on 22.5 minutes a night against 27.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Bub Carrington plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jordan Goodwin 2. For that week alone, start Bub Carrington: 65.7 projected fantasy points to 43.9 for Jordan Goodwin.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameBub CarringtonJordan Goodwin
Fantasy points per game21.922.0
Minutes27.722.5
PointsPTS10.78.7
ReboundsREB3.44.9
AssistsAST4.62.2
StealsSTL0.61.5
BlocksBLK0.20.2
Threes3PM2.11.6
Field goal %FG%42.4%41.3%
Free throw %FT%73.0%69.6%
TurnoversTO2.31.0
Games, 2025-268270

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Bub CarringtonJordan Goodwin
Fantasy points28.535.2
Points13.913.9
Rebounds4.47.8
Assists6.03.5
Steals0.82.4
Blocks0.30.3
Threes2.72.6
Turnovers3.01.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryBub CarringtonJordan Goodwin
PointsPTS-1.0-1.4
ReboundsREB-1.1-0.4
AssistsAST+0.5-0.7
StealsSTL-1.1+1.4
BlocksBLK-1.0-1.0
Threes3PM+0.4-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9-0.9
Free throw percentageFT%-0.3-0.2
TurnoversTO-0.6+1.1
Total-5.2-2.3

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Jordan Goodwin stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntBub CarringtonJordan Goodwin
PTS-4.2 (#286)-1.0 (#107)
REB-4.1 (#257)-2.1 (#137)
AST-5.7 (#321)-1.6 (#130)
STL-4.1 (#242)-3.8 (#221)
BLK-4.3 (#239)-1.5 (#106)
3PM-5.5 (#307)-2.3 (#147)
FG%-4.4 (#221)-1.6 (#106)
FT%-4.9 (#259)-2.1 (#139)
TO-4.7 (#198)-3.5 (#158)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Bub Carrington: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.
  • Jordan Goodwin: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Bub Carrington: 24.3 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 21.9 on the board.
  • Jordan Goodwin: 23.8 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Bub Carrington or Jordan Goodwin in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Jordan Goodwin. 22.0 fantasy points per game against 21.9, 182nd on our board to 184th. 9-cat leagues: Jordan Goodwin again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -5.2 (141st to 262nd).

  • Who wins more categories, Bub Carrington or Jordan Goodwin?

    Category by category, Bub Carrington is ahead in 3 (PTS, AST and 3PM) and Jordan Goodwin in 3 (REB, STL and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Bub Carrington or Jordan Goodwin?

    Bub Carrington plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jordan Goodwin 2. For that week alone, start Bub Carrington: 65.7 projected fantasy points to 43.9 for Jordan Goodwin.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number