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Jordan Goodwin vs Pelle Larsson: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Pelle Larsson in points leagues (22.0 fantasy points a game to 22.0) and Jordan Goodwin in 9-cat leagues (141st against 218th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Jordan Goodwin
SGSFPHXage 27
Points leagues
#182
22.0 FP/G, slot 16.02
9-cat leagues
#141
-2.3 z, slot 12.09, $3

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Pelle Larsson
SFSGMIAage 25DTD
Points leagues
#181
22.0 FP/G, slot 16.01
9-cat leagues
#218
-4.1 z, slot 19.02

Day to day (Illness)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Pelle Larsson. 22.0 fantasy points per game against 22.0, 181st on our board to 182nd.

9-cat leagues: Jordan Goodwin instead, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (141st to 218th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jordan Goodwin is ahead in 4 (REB, STL, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Jordan Goodwin produces more: 35.2 fantasy points to 30.0, on 22.5 minutes a night against 26.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jordan Goodwin plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 66.0 projected fantasy points to 43.9 for Jordan Goodwin.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameJordan GoodwinPelle Larsson
Fantasy points per game22.022.0
Minutes22.526.4
PointsPTS8.711.4
ReboundsREB4.93.5
AssistsAST2.23.4
StealsSTL1.50.7
BlocksBLK0.20.2
Threes3PM1.60.9
Field goal %FG%41.3%49.6%
Free throw %FT%69.6%79.7%
TurnoversTO1.01.4
Games, 2025-267070

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jordan GoodwinPelle Larsson
Fantasy points35.230.0
Points13.915.6
Rebounds7.84.8
Assists3.54.6
Steals2.41.0
Blocks0.30.3
Threes2.61.2
Turnovers1.62.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJordan GoodwinPelle Larsson
PointsPTS-1.4-0.9
ReboundsREB-0.4-1.1
AssistsAST-0.7-0.2
StealsSTL+1.4-0.9
BlocksBLK-1.0-1.0
Threes3PM-0.1-0.8
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2-0.0
TurnoversTO+1.1+0.5
Total-2.3-4.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Pelle Larsson.

PuntJordan GoodwinPelle Larsson
PTS-1.0 (#107)-3.2 (#236)
REB-2.1 (#137)-3.3 (#209)
AST-1.6 (#130)-4.0 (#246)
STL-3.8 (#221)-3.3 (#200)
BLK-1.5 (#106)-3.4 (#196)
3PM-2.3 (#147)-3.4 (#201)
FG%-1.6 (#106)-4.7 (#237)
FT%-2.1 (#139)-4.1 (#225)
TO-3.5 (#158)-4.8 (#204)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jordan Goodwin: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).
  • Pelle Larsson: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jordan Goodwin: 23.8 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.0 on the board.
  • Pelle Larsson: 25.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Jordan Goodwin or Pelle Larsson in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Pelle Larsson. 22.0 fantasy points per game against 22.0, 181st on our board to 182nd. 9-cat leagues: Jordan Goodwin instead, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (141st to 218th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jordan Goodwin or Pelle Larsson?

    Category by category, Jordan Goodwin is ahead in 4 (REB, STL, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jordan Goodwin or Pelle Larsson?

    Jordan Goodwin plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 66.0 projected fantasy points to 43.9 for Jordan Goodwin.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number