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Deandre Ayton vs Reed Sheppard: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Reed Sheppard in both formats: 27.0 fantasy points a game to 26.7 in points leagues, and 65th against 91st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Deandre Ayton
CWASage 28
Points leagues
#119
26.7 FP/G, slot 10.11, $6
9-cat leagues
#91
-1.1 z, slot 8.07, $10
Reed Sheppard
PGSGHOUage 22
Points leagues
#117
27.0 FP/G, slot 10.09, $7
9-cat leagues
#65
-0.2 z, slot 6.05, $14

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Reed Sheppard. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 26.7, 117th on our board to 119th.

9-cat leagues: Reed Sheppard again, -0.2 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (65th to 91st).

Category by category, Deandre Ayton is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Reed Sheppard in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Reed Sheppard produces more: 37.2 fantasy points to 35.4, on 26.2 minutes a night against 27.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Deandre Ayton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 80.2 for Deandre Ayton.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameDeandre AytonReed Sheppard
Fantasy points per game26.727.0
Minutes27.226.2
PointsPTS12.513.5
ReboundsREB8.02.9
AssistsAST0.83.4
StealsSTL0.61.5
BlocksBLK1.00.7
Threes3PM0.02.8
Field goal %FG%67.1%43.0%
Free throw %FT%64.5%80.2%
TurnoversTO1.21.5
Games, 2025-267282

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Deandre AytonReed Sheppard
Fantasy points35.437.2
Points16.518.6
Rebounds10.64.0
Assists1.14.6
Steals0.82.0
Blocks1.30.9
Threes0.03.8
Turnovers1.52.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDeandre AytonReed Sheppard
PointsPTS-0.7-0.6
ReboundsREB+1.0-1.3
AssistsAST-1.4-0.1
StealsSTL-1.3+1.3
BlocksBLK+0.6-0.1
Threes3PM-1.7+1.1
Field goal percentageFG%+2.5-1.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.9+0.0
TurnoversTO+0.9+0.5
Total-1.1-0.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Deandre Ayton.

PuntDeandre AytonReed Sheppard
PTS-0.4 (#78)+0.2 (#56)
REB-2.3 (#146)+1.1 (#36)
AST+0.3 (#51)-0.2 (#67)
STL+0.1 (#62)-1.6 (#124)
BLK-1.9 (#125)-0.2 (#68)
3PM+0.6 (#48)-1.4 (#110)
FG%-4.3 (#213)+1.0 (#46)
FT%-0.1 (#65)-0.3 (#72)
TO-2.2 (#116)-0.7 (#76)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Deandre Ayton: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.
  • Reed Sheppard: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Deandre Ayton: 26.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.7 on the board.
  • Reed Sheppard: 28.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 27.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Deandre Ayton or Reed Sheppard in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Reed Sheppard. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 26.7, 117th on our board to 119th. 9-cat leagues: Reed Sheppard again, -0.2 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (65th to 91st).

  • Who wins more categories, Deandre Ayton or Reed Sheppard?

    Category by category, Deandre Ayton is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Reed Sheppard in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Deandre Ayton or Reed Sheppard?

    Deandre Ayton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 80.2 for Deandre Ayton.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number