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Mark Williams vs Reed Sheppard: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Mark Williams in both formats: 27.1 fantasy points a game to 27.0 in points leagues, and 64th against 65th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Mark Williams
CPHXage 24OUT
Points leagues
#116
27.1 FP/G, slot 10.08, $7
9-cat leagues
#64
-0.1 z, slot 6.04, $15

Out (Shoulder)

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Reed Sheppard
PGSGHOUage 22
Points leagues
#117
27.0 FP/G, slot 10.09, $7
9-cat leagues
#65
-0.2 z, slot 6.05, $14

The call

Points leagues: draft Mark Williams. 27.1 fantasy points per game against 27.0, 116th on our board to 117th.

9-cat leagues: Mark Williams again, -0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.2 (64th to 65th).

Category by category, Mark Williams is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Reed Sheppard in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Mark Williams produces more: 41.3 fantasy points to 37.2, on 23.6 minutes a night against 26.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Mark Williams plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Mark Williams.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameMark WilliamsReed Sheppard
Fantasy points per game27.127.0
Minutes23.626.2
PointsPTS11.713.5
ReboundsREB8.02.9
AssistsAST1.03.4
StealsSTL0.91.5
BlocksBLK0.90.7
Threes3PM0.02.8
Field goal %FG%64.4%43.0%
Free throw %FT%77.1%80.2%
TurnoversTO1.11.5
Games, 2025-266082

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Mark WilliamsReed Sheppard
Fantasy points41.337.2
Points17.818.6
Rebounds12.14.0
Assists1.54.6
Steals1.42.0
Blocks1.40.9
Threes0.03.8
Turnovers1.72.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryMark WilliamsReed Sheppard
PointsPTS-0.9-0.6
ReboundsREB+0.9-1.3
AssistsAST-1.3-0.1
StealsSTL-0.3+1.3
BlocksBLK+0.5-0.1
Threes3PM-1.7+1.1
Field goal percentageFG%+1.8-1.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2+0.0
TurnoversTO+1.0+0.5
Total-0.1-0.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Reed Sheppard.

PuntMark WilliamsReed Sheppard
PTS+0.7 (#40)+0.2 (#56)
REB-1.4 (#107)+1.1 (#36)
AST+1.2 (#32)-0.2 (#67)
STL+0.1 (#63)-1.6 (#124)
BLK-0.9 (#86)-0.2 (#68)
3PM+1.5 (#31)-1.4 (#110)
FG%-2.5 (#138)+1.0 (#46)
FT%+0.2 (#59)-0.3 (#72)
TO-1.3 (#94)-0.7 (#76)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Mark Williams: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW), listed Out.
  • Reed Sheppard: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Mark Williams: 21.8 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 27.1 on the board.
  • Reed Sheppard: 28.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 27.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Mark Williams or Reed Sheppard in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Mark Williams. 27.1 fantasy points per game against 27.0, 116th on our board to 117th. 9-cat leagues: Mark Williams again, -0.1 in summed z-scores against -0.2 (64th to 65th).

  • Who wins more categories, Mark Williams or Reed Sheppard?

    Category by category, Mark Williams is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Reed Sheppard in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Mark Williams or Reed Sheppard?

    Mark Williams plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Reed Sheppard 3. For that week alone, start Reed Sheppard: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Mark Williams.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number