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DeMar DeRozan vs Matas Buzelis: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Matas Buzelis in both formats: 30.9 fantasy points a game to 30.9 in points leagues, and 66th against 72nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

DeMar DeRozan
SFPFSGDENage 37
Points leagues
#79
30.9 FP/G, slot 7.07, $12
9-cat leagues
#72
-0.4 z, slot 6.12, $13
Matas Buzelis
PFSFCHIage 22
Points leagues
#78
30.9 FP/G, slot 7.06, $12
9-cat leagues
#66
-0.3 z, slot 6.06, $14

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Matas Buzelis. 30.9 fantasy points per game against 30.9, 78th on our board to 79th.

9-cat leagues: Matas Buzelis again, -0.3 in summed z-scores against -0.4 (66th to 72nd).

Category by category, DeMar DeRozan is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, FG%, FT% and TO) and Matas Buzelis in 3 (REB, BLK and 3PM).

Per 36 minutes, Matas Buzelis produces more: 38.1 fantasy points to 35.6, on 29.2 minutes a night against 31.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

DeMar DeRozan plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matas Buzelis 3. For that week alone, start Matas Buzelis: 92.8 projected fantasy points to 61.7 for DeMar DeRozan.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameDeMar DeRozanMatas Buzelis
Fantasy points per game30.930.9
Minutes31.229.2
PointsPTS18.416.3
ReboundsREB2.95.8
AssistsAST4.12.1
StealsSTL1.00.7
BlocksBLK0.31.5
Threes3PM0.62.2
Field goal %FG%49.7%46.3%
Free throw %FT%86.8%78.6%
TurnoversTO1.22.1
Games, 2025-267777

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36DeMar DeRozanMatas Buzelis
Fantasy points35.638.1
Points21.220.1
Rebounds3.47.2
Assists4.72.5
Steals1.20.9
Blocks0.31.9
Threes0.72.8
Turnovers1.42.5

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDeMar DeRozanMatas Buzelis
PointsPTS+0.3-0.1
ReboundsREB-1.3-0.0
AssistsAST+0.2-0.8
StealsSTL+0.1-0.9
BlocksBLK-0.8+1.7
Threes3PM-1.1+0.6
Field goal percentageFG%+0.2-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%+1.2-0.1
TurnoversTO+0.8-0.3
Total-0.4-0.3

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks and threes flips the 9-cat answer to DeMar DeRozan.

PuntDeMar DeRozanMatas Buzelis
PTS-0.7 (#91)-0.3 (#74)
REB+0.8 (#40)-0.4 (#71)
AST-0.7 (#81)+0.5 (#45)
STL-0.6 (#76)+0.5 (#45)
BLK+0.3 (#58)-2.1 (#140)
3PM+0.5 (#50)-0.9 (#93)
FG%-0.8 (#83)+0.1 (#61)
FT%-1.7 (#119)-0.2 (#67)
TO-1.3 (#90)-0.1 (#63)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • DeMar DeRozan: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
  • Matas Buzelis: 3 games (Wed @TOR, Fri @MIL, Sat WAS), 1 back-to-back.

DeMar DeRozan or Matas Buzelis: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • DeMar DeRozan: 29.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 30.9 on the board.
  • Matas Buzelis: 33.3 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 30.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft DeMar DeRozan or Matas Buzelis in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Matas Buzelis. 30.9 fantasy points per game against 30.9, 78th on our board to 79th. 9-cat leagues: Matas Buzelis again, -0.3 in summed z-scores against -0.4 (66th to 72nd).

  • Who wins more categories, DeMar DeRozan or Matas Buzelis?

    Category by category, DeMar DeRozan is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, FG%, FT% and TO) and Matas Buzelis in 3 (REB, BLK and 3PM).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, DeMar DeRozan or Matas Buzelis?

    DeMar DeRozan plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Matas Buzelis 3. For that week alone, start Matas Buzelis: 92.8 projected fantasy points to 61.7 for DeMar DeRozan.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number