John Collins vs Tobias Harris: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Tobias Harris in points leagues (26.2 fantasy points a game to 24.9) and John Collins in 9-cat leagues (104th against 106th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #140
- 24.9 FP/G, slot 12.08, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #104
- -1.4 z, slot 9.08, $8
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #132
- 26.2 FP/G, slot 11.12, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #106
- -1.4 z, slot 9.10, $8
Day to day (Calf)
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Tobias Harris. 26.2 fantasy points per game against 24.9, 132nd on our board to 140th.
9-cat leagues: John Collins instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (104th to 106th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, John Collins is ahead in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%) and Tobias Harris in 4 (AST, STL, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Tobias Harris produces more: 34.0 fantasy points to 33.0, on 27.7 minutes a night against 27.1. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
John Collins plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Tobias Harris: 78.5 projected fantasy points to 74.7 for John Collins.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | John Collins | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.9 | 26.2 |
| Minutes | 27.1 | 27.7 |
| PointsPTS | 13.6 | 13.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.3 | 5.1 |
| AssistsAST | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 55.2% | 46.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 76.6% | 86.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 69 | 63 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | John Collins | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 33.0 | 34.0 |
| Points | 18.0 | 17.2 |
| Rebounds | 7.1 | 6.7 |
| Assists | 1.3 | 3.2 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | John Collins | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.6 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| AssistsAST | -1.3 | -0.6 |
| StealsSTL | -0.4 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.1 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.4 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.0 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | +1.1 |
| Total | -1.4 | -1.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Tobias Harris.
| Punt | John Collins | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.9 (#103) | -0.8 (#100) |
| REB | -1.3 (#105) | -1.2 (#99) |
| AST | -0.1 (#63) | -0.8 (#90) |
| STL | -1.0 (#98) | -1.2 (#104) |
| BLK | -1.6 (#112) | -1.0 (#89) |
| 3PM | -1.0 (#96) | -1.1 (#97) |
| FG% | -2.7 (#143) | -1.2 (#95) |
| FT% | -1.2 (#104) | -1.9 (#131) |
| TO | -2.1 (#113) | -2.6 (#125) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- John Collins: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
- Tobias Harris: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
Recent games
- John Collins: 23.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 24.9 on the board.
- Tobias Harris: 29.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft John Collins or Tobias Harris in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Tobias Harris. 26.2 fantasy points per game against 24.9, 132nd on our board to 140th. 9-cat leagues: John Collins instead, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (104th to 106th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, John Collins or Tobias Harris?
Category by category, John Collins is ahead in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%) and Tobias Harris in 4 (AST, STL, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, John Collins or Tobias Harris?
John Collins plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Tobias Harris: 78.5 projected fantasy points to 74.7 for John Collins.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number