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John Collins vs Robert Williams: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft John Collins in both formats: 24.9 fantasy points a game to 22.1 in points leagues, and 104th against 105th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

John Collins
PFCDETage 29
Points leagues
#140
24.9 FP/G, slot 12.08, $3
9-cat leagues
#104
-1.4 z, slot 9.08, $8

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Robert Williams
CPORage 29
Points leagues
#180
22.1 FP/G, slot 15.12
9-cat leagues
#105
-1.4 z, slot 9.09, $8

The call

Points leagues: draft John Collins. 24.9 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 140th on our board to 180th.

9-cat leagues: John Collins again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (104th to 105th).

Category by category, John Collins is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Robert Williams produces more: 46.5 fantasy points to 33.0, on 17.1 minutes a night against 27.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

John Collins plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams 2. For that week alone, start John Collins: 74.7 projected fantasy points to 44.1 for Robert Williams.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameJohn CollinsRobert Williams
Fantasy points per game24.922.1
Minutes27.117.1
PointsPTS13.66.7
ReboundsREB5.37.0
AssistsAST1.01.0
StealsSTL0.90.6
BlocksBLK0.71.5
Threes3PM1.30.2
Field goal %FG%55.2%70.8%
Free throw %FT%76.6%59.6%
TurnoversTO1.40.8
Games, 2025-266959

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36John CollinsRobert Williams
Fantasy points33.046.5
Points18.014.2
Rebounds7.114.8
Assists1.32.1
Steals1.21.2
Blocks1.03.1
Threes1.70.3
Turnovers1.81.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJohn CollinsRobert Williams
PointsPTS-0.6-1.7
ReboundsREB-0.2+0.5
AssistsAST-1.3-1.3
StealsSTL-0.4-1.2
BlocksBLK+0.1+1.6
Threes3PM-0.4-1.5
Field goal percentageFG%+1.0+1.5
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2-0.6
TurnoversTO+0.6+1.3
Total-1.4-1.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Robert Williams.

PuntJohn CollinsRobert Williams
PTS-0.9 (#103)+0.3 (#51)
REB-1.3 (#105)-2.2 (#142)
AST-0.1 (#63)+0.0 (#59)
STL-1.0 (#98)-0.2 (#70)
BLK-1.6 (#112)-3.3 (#190)
3PM-1.0 (#96)+0.2 (#57)
FG%-2.7 (#143)-3.4 (#172)
FT%-1.2 (#104)-0.7 (#84)
TO-2.1 (#113)-3.0 (#136)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • John Collins: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
  • Robert Williams: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • John Collins: 23.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 24.9 on the board.
  • Robert Williams: 20.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.1 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft John Collins or Robert Williams in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft John Collins. 24.9 fantasy points per game against 22.1, 140th on our board to 180th. 9-cat leagues: John Collins again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (104th to 105th).

  • Who wins more categories, John Collins or Robert Williams?

    Category by category, John Collins is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, John Collins or Robert Williams?

    John Collins plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams 2. For that week alone, start John Collins: 74.7 projected fantasy points to 44.1 for Robert Williams.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number