LaMelo Ball vs Trey Murphy: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft LaMelo Ball in points leagues (38.1 fantasy points a game to 37.8) and Trey Murphy in 9-cat leagues (11th against 40th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #39
- 38.1 FP/G, slot 4.03, $23
- 9-cat leagues
- #40
- +0.9 z, slot 4.04, $20
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #41
- 37.8 FP/G, slot 4.05, $23
- 9-cat leagues
- #11
- +3.8 z, slot 1.11, $36
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft LaMelo Ball. 38.1 fantasy points per game against 37.8, 39th on our board to 41st.
9-cat leagues: Trey Murphy instead, +3.8 in summed z-scores against +0.9 (11th to 40th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, LaMelo Ball is ahead in 2 (AST and 3PM) and Trey Murphy in 7 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, LaMelo Ball produces more: 48.9 fantasy points to 38.4, on 28.0 minutes a night against 35.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
LaMelo Ball plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Trey Murphy 3. For that week alone, start LaMelo Ball: 114.3 projected fantasy points to 113.5 for Trey Murphy.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | LaMelo Ball | Trey Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 38.1 | 37.8 |
| Minutes | 28.0 | 35.5 |
| PointsPTS | 20.1 | 21.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| AssistsAST | 7.1 | 3.8 |
| StealsSTL | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 40.7% | 47.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 89.9% | 88.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 66 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | LaMelo Ball | Trey Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 48.9 | 38.4 |
| Points | 25.8 | 21.8 |
| Rebounds | 6.2 | 5.8 |
| Assists | 9.2 | 3.8 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| Turnovers | 3.6 | 1.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | LaMelo Ball | Trey Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.6 | +0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| AssistsAST | +1.7 | +0.1 |
| StealsSTL | +0.5 | +1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.9 | -0.7 |
| Threes3PM | +2.2 | +1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -2.2 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.8 | +1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | -1.2 | +0.1 |
| Total | +0.9 | +3.8 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Trey Murphy stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | LaMelo Ball | Trey Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.2 (#58) | +2.8 (#10) |
| REB | +1.6 (#29) | +3.9 (#10) |
| AST | -0.9 (#92) | +3.6 (#8) |
| STL | +0.4 (#49) | +2.4 (#20) |
| BLK | +1.9 (#26) | +4.5 (#10) |
| 3PM | -1.4 (#109) | +1.9 (#24) |
| FG% | +3.6 (#16) | +4.6 (#10) |
| FT% | -0.0 (#63) | +2.6 (#18) |
| TO | +2.2 (#32) | +3.8 (#18) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- LaMelo Ball: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).
- Trey Murphy: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- LaMelo Ball: 40.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 38.1 on the board.
- Trey Murphy: 35.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 37.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft LaMelo Ball or Trey Murphy in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft LaMelo Ball. 38.1 fantasy points per game against 37.8, 39th on our board to 41st. 9-cat leagues: Trey Murphy instead, +3.8 in summed z-scores against +0.9 (11th to 40th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, LaMelo Ball or Trey Murphy?
Category by category, LaMelo Ball is ahead in 2 (AST and 3PM) and Trey Murphy in 7 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, LaMelo Ball or Trey Murphy?
LaMelo Ball plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Trey Murphy 3. For that week alone, start LaMelo Ball: 114.3 projected fantasy points to 113.5 for Trey Murphy.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number