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Jimmy Butler or Julius Randle? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), SFs ranked 5th and 9th at the position, compared on 2025-26 per-game production.

Jimmy Butler
SFGSWOUT
FP/G
37.4
9-cat
#20
Last 10 FP
38.2

Out (Knee)

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in 9-cat leagues.

FP/G
37.9
9-cat
#68
Last 10 FP
34.5

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in points leagues.

The Week 1 call

Jimmy Butler is listed Out (Knee) on Sleeper, so his projection counts no games while that stands.

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Julius Randle. Julius Randle has 3 games counted to 0 for Jimmy Butler, for 113.8 projected fantasy points against 0.0.

9-cat leagues: Jimmy Butler instead, 0.0 category value for the week to -1.2, because his category mix is worth more there.

Julius Randle has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Jimmy Butler's minutes are down: 27.1 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 31.1 on the board.

Julius Randle played 32.6 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 33.0 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekJimmy ButlerJulius Randle
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)03
Back-to-backs11
Games, Week 243
Minutes, last games27.1 (last 5)32.6 (last 5)
Minutes, board31.133.0
Shots per 36, last games18.316.1
InjuryOut (Knee)None listed
Projected fantasy points0.0113.8
Projected 9-cat value0.0-1.2

Schedule: Jimmy Butler Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX. Julius Randle Wed CHA, Sat @CLE, Sun IND.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatJimmy ButlerJulius Randle
Points0.063.3
Rebounds0.020.2
Assists0.015.1
Steals0.03.3
Blocks0.00.7
Threes0.04.1
Turnovers0.08.2

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Julius Randle, 37.9 fantasy points per game to 37.4.

9-cat leagues: Jimmy Butler instead, 20th overall against 68th, because the categories reward a different mix.

Per game, side by side

StatJimmy ButlerJulius Randle
Fantasy points per game37.437.9
Minutes31.133.0
PointsPTS20.021.1
ReboundsREB5.66.7
AssistsAST4.95.0
StealsSTL1.41.1
BlocksBLK0.20.2
Threes3PM0.81.4
Field goal %FG%51.9%48.1%
Free throw %FT%86.4%80.2%
TurnoversTO1.62.7

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

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Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Common questions

  • Should I start Jimmy Butler or Julius Randle in Week 1?

    Jimmy Butler is listed Out (Knee) on Sleeper, so his projection counts no games while that stands. Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Julius Randle. Julius Randle has 3 games counted to 0 for Jimmy Butler, for 113.8 projected fantasy points against 0.0. 9-cat leagues: Jimmy Butler instead, 0.0 category value for the week to -1.2, because his category mix is worth more there. Julius Randle has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Jimmy Butler's minutes are down: 27.1 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 31.1 on the board. Julius Randle played 32.6 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 33.0 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Jimmy Butler or Julius Randle?

    Points leagues: Julius Randle, 37.9 fantasy points per game to 37.4. 9-cat leagues: Jimmy Butler instead, 20th overall against 68th, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jimmy Butler or Julius Randle?

    Jimmy Butler is ahead in 4 (steals, field goal percentage, free throw percentage, turnovers); Julius Randle in 4 (points, rebounds, assists, threes), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 7:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number