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Start Rico Dowdle or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Rico Dowdle

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at CHI

Books imply
12.3
fantasy pts
CHI D vs RB
33.7
8th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
46%
Through Week 1
Target share
4%
Through Week 1
Sit

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at NE

NE D vs RB
15.0
10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
58%
Through Week 1
Target share
14%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Rico Dowdle in Week 2.

Aaron Jones Sr. is priced by the books at 12.3 projected points. Rico Dowdle has too little of his market posted this week to price, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and his injury status only. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 92 and Rico Dowdle at 79.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Rico Dowdle in Week 2.

Player prop markets imply 12.3 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

Week 2 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit NE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NE allowed 15.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and no touchdowns against NE and caught passes for 26 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit CHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CHI allowed 33.7 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and a touchdown against CHI and caught passes for 86 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Rico Dowdle played 58 percent of PIT snaps, took 44 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Through Week 1, Aaron Jones Sr. played 46 percent of MIN snaps, took 39 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 31 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 1 against GB: 30 of 65 snaps, 12 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Rico Dowdle, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 27 of 51 snaps, 7 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Rico Dowdle, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 34 of 53 snaps, 12 carries for 59 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 4 yards, 9.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB22 · PIT · bye 9

2025 vs rush yds line 6-11

Overall rank
49
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB23 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs rush yds line 4-8

Overall rank
50
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board1
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 4
  • Board size244 draftable players

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