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Should I start Rico Dowdle or Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 11:56 AM ET.

Week 10 verdict

Start

RB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
9.8
fantasy pts
CIN D vs RB
19.4
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at RB
Snap share
40%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · MIN · at GB

Market projects
8.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs RB
25.0
7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
29 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Start Dowdle or Jones? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Rico Dowdle: 38 percent of the snaps and 38 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Aaron Jones Sr.'s 32 percent of the snaps and 30 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB7 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs carries line 3-2

Market-based projection
9.6 pts a game

RB48 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-3

Market-based projection
7.5 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
199

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rico Dowdle, and the board ranks him 27th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 199th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Rico Dowdle's market-based projection is 9.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 22nd highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 1.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 40 percent of PIT snaps, taken 37 percent of the carries, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 0.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 7 times for 40 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NO he carried 9 times for 41 yards, caught 6 of 6 targets for 45 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he carried 15 times for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 32 percent of MIN snaps, taken 32 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 8 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 0.8 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against BUF he carried 5 times for 16 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.

That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Rico Dowdle was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Rico Dowdle scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Aaron Jones Sr. 9.9, 2.8 a game between them.

Rico Dowdle finished RB18 that year and Aaron Jones Sr. RB41.

Rico Dowdle had 104 more carries than Aaron Jones Sr., 236 to 132.

Rico Dowdle had 11 more catches than Aaron Jones Sr., 39 to 28.

This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger snap share, 40 percent against 32 percent.

This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger share of the carries, 37 percent against 32 percent.

Byes and availability

Rico Dowdle is off in Week 9 and Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Aaron Jones Sr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Rico Dowdle?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Aaron Jones Sr.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Rico Dowdle?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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