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Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Bhayshul Tuten? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Bhayshul Tuten

Books imply
12.1
fantasy pts
Books imply
10.8
fantasy pts
Snap share
50%
Through Week 2
Target share
6%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Bhayshul Tuten in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Aaron Jones Sr. at 12.1 points and Bhayshul Tuten at 10.8, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Aaron Jones Sr. at 52.5 rushing yards, 12.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 48% chance to score a touchdown (15, 14, 15 and 17 books).

Player prop markets imply 10.8 fantasy points for Bhayshul Tuten, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Bhayshul Tuten at 52.5 rushing yards, 9.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 39% chance to score a touchdown (16, 12, 16 and 17 books).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.3 points ahead of Bhayshul Tuten on the books.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Bhayshul Tuten is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Bhayshul Tuten played 50 percent of JAX snaps, took 53 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

Bhayshul Tuten, Week 1 against CLE: 28 of 57 snaps, 15 carries for 66 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 22 yards.

Bhayshul Tuten, Week 2 against DEN: 30 of 59 snaps, 13 carries for 65 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -3 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bhayshul Tuten played 15 games for JAX and scored 88.6 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB53.

He ran 83 times for 307 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 14 targets for 79 yards.

He was on the field for 21 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bhayshul Tuten, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 8.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB22 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs rush yds line 4-8

Overall rank
50
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

RB25 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 7-8

Overall rank
66
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board16
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board