Start Breece Hall or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Breece Hall over Aaron Jones Sr.
- Books imply
- 15.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 62%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 12%
- Through Week 2
- Books imply
- 14.1
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Breece Hall over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Breece Hall at 15.4 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 15.4 fantasy points for Breece Hall, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Breece Hall at 57.5 rushing yards, 21.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 49% chance to score a touchdown (14, 15, 13 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 14.1 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Aaron Jones Sr. at 67.5 rushing yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 50% chance to score a touchdown (8, 4 and 15 books).
That puts Breece Hall 1.4 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the books.
Injury status
Breece Hall is not on the injury report.
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Breece Hall played 62 percent of NYJ snaps, took 60 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.
Breece Hall, Week 1 against TEN: 39 of 67 snaps, 22 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 1 touchdown.
Breece Hall, Week 2 against GB: 48 of 74 snaps, 16 carries for 29 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 63 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Breece Hall played 16 games for NYJ and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.
He ran 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 yards.
He was on the field for 64 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Breece Hall, Week 17 of 2025 against NE: 30 of 61 snaps, 14 carries for 111 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.9 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB13 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 7-9
- Overall rank
- 18
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB14 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 23
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board5
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 5
- Board size230 draftable players
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