Start Jaylen Warren or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jaylen Warren over Aaron Jones Sr.
- Books imply
- 15.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 55%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 14%
- Through Week 2
- Books imply
- 14.2
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Jaylen Warren over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Jaylen Warren at 15.4 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.2, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 15.4 fantasy points for Jaylen Warren, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Jaylen Warren at 57.5 rushing yards, 23.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 47% chance to score a touchdown (11, 8, 7 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 14.2 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Aaron Jones Sr. at 61.5 rushing yards, 13.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 50% chance to score a touchdown (8, 8, 7 and 15 books).
That puts Jaylen Warren 1.2 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the books.
Injury status
Jaylen Warren is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Jaylen Warren played 55 percent of PIT snaps, took 51 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.
Jaylen Warren, Week 1 against ATL: 25 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 46 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 27 yards.
Jaylen Warren, Week 2 against NE: 50 of 70 snaps, 11 carries for 43 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.
He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.
He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jaylen Warren, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 14 carries for 66 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 14.9 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB14 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 5-11
- Overall rank
- 21
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
RB17 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 28
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board7
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 6
- Board size230 draftable players
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