Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Juwan Johnson? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Juwan Johnson over Aaron Jones Sr.
- Books imply
- 9.1
- fantasy pts
- Books imply
- 9.0
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Juwan Johnson over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Juwan Johnson at 9.1 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 9.0, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Juwan Johnson's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Juwan Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Juwan Johnson at 35.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books give Aaron Jones Sr. a 51% chance to score a touchdown (14 books).
That puts Juwan Johnson 0.1 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the books.
Injury status
Juwan Johnson is not on the injury report.
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB17 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 28
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
TE14 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rec yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 101
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board73
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 6 and tier 2
- Board size230 draftable players
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