Start Cam Ward or Aaron Rodgers? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Cam Ward over Aaron Rodgers in Week 1.

Cam Ward is priced by the books at 6.9 projected points. Aaron Rodgers has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Cam Ward at ADP 227 and Aaron Rodgers at 231. Market coverage on Cam Ward is 55 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.9 fantasy points for Cam Ward, with 55 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Aaron Rodgers in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Cam Ward and TEN host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 11.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 140 yards and a touchdown against NYJ, with no interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers and PIT host ATL.

ATL allowed 12.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 221 yards and a touchdown against ATL, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Cam Ward was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Aaron Rodgers was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Cam Ward played 17 games for TEN and scored 193.7 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing QB22.

He completed 323 of 540 passes for 3169 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 39 times for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Cam Ward, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 3 of 3 passes for 52 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 9.2 PPR points.

Cam Ward, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 74 of 74 snaps, 21 of 40 passes for 251 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards, 17.0 PPR points.

Cam Ward, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 73 of 73 snaps, 21 of 28 passes for 228 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 9 yards, 18.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 31 of 47 passes for 294 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 20 yards, 17.8 PPR points.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 17 of 2025 against CLE: 66 of 66 snaps, 21 of 39 passes for 168 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards, 7.3 PPR points.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 16 of 2025 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 41 passes for 266 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 9 yards, 15.5 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Cam Ward scored 11.7 PPR points and Aaron Rodgers scored 12.5.

The call was wrong: Aaron Rodgers outscored Cam Ward by 0.8.

Cam Ward finished 4.8 points above the 6.9 the props implied.

Cam Ward, Week 1 against NYJ: 50 of 50 snaps, 19 of 32 passes for 140 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 21 yards, 11.7 PPR points.

Cam Ward finished as the week's QB26 in PPR scoring.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for -3 yards, 12.5 PPR points.

Aaron Rodgers finished as the week's QB25 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Cam Ward over Bryce Young.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Cam Ward.
• Start Daniel Jones over Cam Ward.
• Start Bryce Young over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Jacoby Brissett over Aaron Rodgers.