Start Daniel Jones or Cam Ward? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Daniel Jones over Cam Ward
Wrong: 10.0 to 11.7
- Books imply
- 9.3
- fantasy pts
- BAL D vs QB
- 10.0
- 5th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.0
- PPR pts

- NYJ D vs QB
- 11.7
- 7th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 11.7
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Daniel Jones over Cam Ward in Week 1.
Daniel Jones is priced by the books at 9.3 projected points. Cam Ward has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Daniel Jones at ADP 188 and Cam Ward at 209. Market coverage on Daniel Jones is 45 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Daniel Jones, with 45 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Cam Ward in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Daniel Jones and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
BAL allowed 10.0 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 5th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 166 yards and a touchdown against BAL, with an interception.
Cam Ward and TEN host NYJ.
NYJ allowed 11.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 140 yards and a touchdown against NYJ, with no interceptions.
By points allowed to the position, Cam Ward has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Daniel Jones was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Cam Ward was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.
He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Cam Ward played 17 games for TEN and scored 193.7 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing QB22.
He completed 323 of 540 passes for 3169 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 39 times for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Cam Ward, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 3 of 3 passes for 52 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 9.2 PPR points.
Cam Ward, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 74 of 74 snaps, 21 of 40 passes for 251 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards, 17.0 PPR points.
Cam Ward, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 73 of 73 snaps, 21 of 28 passes for 228 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 9 yards, 18.0 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Daniel Jones scored 10.0 PPR points and Cam Ward scored 11.7.
The call was wrong: Cam Ward outscored Daniel Jones by 1.7.
Daniel Jones finished 0.7 points above the 9.3 the props implied.
Daniel Jones, Week 1 against BAL: 54 of 54 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards, 10.0 PPR points.
Daniel Jones finished as the week's QB28 in PPR scoring.
Cam Ward, Week 1 against NYJ: 50 of 50 snaps, 19 of 32 passes for 140 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 21 yards, 11.7 PPR points.
Cam Ward finished as the week's QB26 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB5 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs pass yds line 6-7
- Overall rank
- 20
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
QB7 · TEN · bye 9
2025 vs pass yds line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 23
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board3
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 1
- Board size244 draftable players
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant