Start Aaron Rodgers or Jameis Winston? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Aaron Rodgers over Jameis Winston in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Aaron Rodgers at 14.6 points and Jameis Winston at 13.5, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Aaron Rodgers at 220.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 6% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 8 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 13.5 fantasy points for Jameis Winston, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jameis Winston at 206.5 passing yards and 5.5 rushing yards, with a 15% chance to score a touchdown (13, 13 and 13 books).

That puts Aaron Rodgers 1.1 points ahead of Jameis Winston on the books.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Jameis Winston is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 86 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Through Week 2, Jameis Winston played 88 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 29 times and threw an average of 10.9 air yards per attempt.

Jameis Winston, Week 2 against LAR: 51 of 58 snaps, 11 of 27 passes for 111 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 31 of 47 passes for 294 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 20 yards, 17.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Jameis Winston played 3 games for NYG and scored 45.3 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing QB46.

He completed 37 of 66 passes for 567 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and ran 7 times for 23 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jameis Winston, Week 15 of 2025 against WAS: 2 of 68 snaps, 0 of 1 pass for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Baker Mayfield over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Cam Ward.
• Start Jameis Winston over Cam Ward.
• Start Daniel Jones over Jameis Winston.
• Start Deshaun Watson over Jameis Winston.