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Start Aaron Rodgers or Marcus Mariota? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Aaron Rodgers over Marcus Mariota

Books imply
14.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
98%
Through Week 2
Books imply
11.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
45%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Aaron Rodgers over Marcus Mariota in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Aaron Rodgers at 14.6 points and Marcus Mariota at 11.9, a gap of 2.8. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Aaron Rodgers at 220.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 6% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 6 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 11.9 fantasy points for Marcus Mariota, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Marcus Mariota at 172.5 passing yards, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 14 books).

That puts Aaron Rodgers 2.8 points ahead of Marcus Mariota on the books.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Marcus Mariota is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 86 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Through Week 2, Marcus Mariota played 45 percent of WAS snaps, dropped back 17 times and threw an average of 11.7 air yards per attempt.

Marcus Mariota, Week 2 against DAL: 32 of 71 snaps, 11 of 16 passes for 111 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 31 of 47 passes for 294 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 20 yards, 17.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Marcus Mariota played 11 games for WAS and scored 132.5 PPR points, 12.0 a game, finishing QB32.

He completed 139 of 227 passes for 1695 yards, 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 50 times for 297 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Marcus Mariota, Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 32 of 54 snaps, 7 of 14 passes for 95 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for -1 yards, 3.7 PPR points.

Marcus Mariota, Week 15 of 2025 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 10 of 19 passes for 211 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 43 yards, 14.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB29 · PIT · bye 9

2025 vs pass yds line 8-8

Overall rank
138
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

Ranked behind

QB · WAS · bye unlisted

2025 vs anytime td line 1-10

Overall rank
not on the board
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
not tiered

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersnot tiered
  • Board size227 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board