Start Adonai Mitchell or George Kittle? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start George Kittle over Adonai Mitchell

- Books imply
- 10.9
- fantasy pts

- Books imply
- 10.0
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 76%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 25%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start George Kittle over Adonai Mitchell in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project George Kittle at 10.9 points and Adonai Mitchell at 10.0, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. George Kittle's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Market coverage on George Kittle is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 10.9 fantasy points for George Kittle, with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books give George Kittle a 34% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).
Player prop markets imply 10.0 fantasy points for Adonai Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Adonai Mitchell at 47.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 14 books).
That puts George Kittle 0.9 points ahead of Adonai Mitchell on the books.
Injury status
George Kittle is not on the injury report.
Adonai Mitchell is listed as questionable with a finger injury.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Adonai Mitchell played 76 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 56 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.
Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.
He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.
He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Adonai Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against BUF: 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR32 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 2-14
- Overall rank
- 77
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
Ranked behind
TE17 · SF · bye 8
2025 vs catches line 5-6
- Overall rank
- 131
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board54
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 12 and tier 3
- Board size230 draftable players
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