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Start Adonai Mitchell or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Adonai Mitchell over Deebo Samuel Sr.

Books imply
10.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
76%
Through Week 2
Target share
25%
Through Week 2
Books imply
10.2
fantasy pts

Our Week 3 call

Start Adonai Mitchell over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Adonai Mitchell at 10.5 points and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 10.2, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Adonai Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Adonai Mitchell at 47.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 10.2 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books give Deebo Samuel Sr. a 31% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).

That puts Adonai Mitchell 0.3 points ahead of Deebo Samuel Sr. on the books.

Injury status

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Adonai Mitchell played 76 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 56 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against BUF: 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR32 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 2-14

Overall rank
77
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

Ranked behind

WR54 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 8-8

Overall rank
133
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board56
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 12 and tier 13
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board