Start Adonai Mitchell or Harold Fannin Jr.? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Adonai Mitchell over Harold Fannin Jr.

- Books imply
- 10.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 76%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 25%
- Through Week 2

- Books imply
- 9.7
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Adonai Mitchell over Harold Fannin Jr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Adonai Mitchell at 10.1 points and Harold Fannin Jr. at 9.7, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Harold Fannin Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 10.1 fantasy points for Adonai Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Adonai Mitchell at 48.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (16, 12 and 14 books).
Player prop markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Harold Fannin Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Harold Fannin Jr. at 37.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 27% chance to score a touchdown (13, 11 and 15 books).
That puts Adonai Mitchell 0.4 points ahead of Harold Fannin Jr. on the books.
Injury status
Adonai Mitchell is listed as questionable with a finger injury.
Harold Fannin Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Adonai Mitchell played 76 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 56 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.
Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.
He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.
He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Adonai Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against BUF: 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR32 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 2-14
- Overall rank
- 77
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
Ranked behind
TE12 · CLE · bye 11
2025 vs rec yds line 9-7
- Overall rank
- 88
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board11
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 12 and tier 2
- Board size230 draftable players
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