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Start Tucker Kraft or Adonai Mitchell? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tucker Kraft over Adonai Mitchell

Books imply
11.2
fantasy pts
Books imply
10.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
76%
Through Week 2
Target share
25%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Tucker Kraft over Adonai Mitchell in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Tucker Kraft at 11.2 points and Adonai Mitchell at 10.5, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 11.2 fantasy points for Tucker Kraft, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Tucker Kraft at 46.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14 and 18 books).

Player prop markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Adonai Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Adonai Mitchell at 47.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 14 books).

That puts Tucker Kraft 0.7 points ahead of Adonai Mitchell on the books.

Injury status

Tucker Kraft is not on the injury report.

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Adonai Mitchell played 76 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 56 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against BUF: 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE9 · GB · bye 11

2025 vs catches line 4-4

Overall rank
74
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

WR32 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 2-14

Overall rank
78
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board4
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 2 and tier 12
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board