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Start Justin Jefferson or Amon-Ra St. Brown? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson

Wrong: 28.7 to 31.2
Start

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · DET · vs NO

NO D vs WR
37.2
10th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
90%
Week 1
Target share
36%
Week 1
Scored
28.7
PPR pts
Sit

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · vs GB · out

Books imply
9.0
fantasy pts
GB D vs WR
31.2
13th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
92%
Week 1
Target share
39%
Week 1
Scored
31.2
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson in Week 1.

Justin Jefferson is listed out on our news wire, so this is not a close call: start Amon-Ra St. Brown. Drafters take Amon-Ra St. Brown at ADP 6 and Justin Jefferson at 10.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Amon-Ra St. Brown in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Amon-Ra St. Brown and DET host NO.

NO allowed 37.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 112 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO.

Justin Jefferson and MIN host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 31.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 92 yards and 2 touchdowns against GB.

By points allowed to the position, Amon-Ra St. Brown has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Amon-Ra St. Brown was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Justin Jefferson was listed as out when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games for DET and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.

He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets and 831 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 15 targets and 11 catches for 139 yards, 24.9 PPR points.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 53 of 64 snaps, 13 targets and 8 catches for 68 yards, 14.8 PPR points.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 16 of 2025 against PIT: 72 of 74 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 54 yards, 9.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson, Week 18 of 2025 against GB: 1 carry for 3 yards, 11 targets and 8 catches for 101 yards, 18.4 PPR points.

Justin Jefferson, Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 53 of 54 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 7.0 PPR points.

Justin Jefferson, Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 58 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 85 yards, 14.5 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Amon-Ra St. Brown scored 28.7 PPR points and Justin Jefferson scored 31.2.

The call was wrong: Justin Jefferson outscored Amon-Ra St. Brown by 2.5.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 1 against NO: 69 of 77 snaps, 14 targets and 10 catches for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 28.7 PPR points.

Amon-Ra St. Brown finished as the week's WR4 in PPR scoring.

Justin Jefferson finished 22.2 points above the 9.0 the props implied.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns, 31.2 PPR points.

Justin Jefferson finished as the week's WR3 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR7 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
65
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR70 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs rec yds line 9-8

Overall rank
185
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board120
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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